Part of: Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez
Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $45,547.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp serial bettor buying surge
A proven high-volume sharp bettor with an 80% win rate bought Vilius Gaubas before a coordinated, one-sided surge that pushed the price from 64¢ to 70¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of their trades and is up $3.1M across 1,288 resolved bets
- Three wallets all bought Vilius Gaubas, with $10.2k total pushing the price up 12 points in minutes
- The buy came at 64¢ and the market is now 70¢, showing immediate follow-through
$6,565 on Vilius Gaubas | Wallet win rate: 80%
Pro bettor flips with momentum
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 73% win rate flipped from a small Baez position into a larger Gaubas buy as heavy one-sided flow and a sharp volume spike pushed the market higher.
- This bettor has won 2,519 of 3,471 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
- They switched off a small Baez position and bought $2.0k of Gaubas at 71¢ as the market jumped 12 points in minutes
- Three wallets bought the same side for $10.2k total during a 52.8x volume spike
$2,042 on Vilius Gaubas | Wallet win rate: 68%
Sharp cluster chased Gaubas
Four wallets piled into Vilius Gaubas during a sharp repricing, led by two very profitable high-volume bettors, making this coordinated move worth watching despite one weak wallet in the cluster.
- Two proven bettors led this move: one wins 80% of 1,288 bets and is up $3.1M, another wins 73% across 3,471 bets and is up $6.4M.
- Four wallets all bet Vilius Gaubas within minutes as the price surged from 64¢ to 93¢ on $257k of 24h volume.
- The best entries were 64¢ to 71¢, implying they saw a major mispricing before the market fully repriced.
$11,384 on Vilius Gaubas
94% win-rate sports bettor
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 94% win rate bought Sebastian Baez at 35¢ before the market moved sharply in their favor to 56%.
- This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $411k across 171 resolved positions
- They bought Sebastian Baez at 35¢, and the price has already moved to 56¢ after their entry
- This wallet has made profitable bets across 53 different events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
$3,432 on Sebastian Baez | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp cluster chasing breakout
Three wallets piled into Vilius Gaubas during a sharp price breakout, led by two very large and highly profitable serial traders with long track records.
- Two proven bettors led this move: one wins 80% of 1,288 resolved bets and is up $3.1M, another wins 73% across 3,471 bets and is up $6.4M.
- All 3 wallets bought the same side for $10.2k as Vilius Gaubas jumped from 64¢ to 74¢ in minutes on 43x normal volume.
- The biggest buy came at 64¢ and is already marked at 74¢, showing strong conviction behind the move.
$10,213 on Vilius Gaubas
Sharp bettor in underdog cluster
This is worth surfacing because a proven 94% win-rate bettor joined a 4-wallet cluster buying the underdog during a major volume spike, signaling a real contrarian thesis rather than routine flow.
- A bettor who wins 94% of their trades and is up $411k joined this buy cluster on Sebastian Baez
- Four wallets bought nearly $9.8k of the same side within minutes while market volume ran 53x above normal
- They entered mostly at 32¢ to 35¢, suggesting they saw the underdog as materially underpriced
$9,800 on Sebastian Baez
Sharp sports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term record is backing Sebastian Baez, making this a credible sharp sports follow despite only one signal firing.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $332k over more than $3.3M staked
- They have traded 523 markets across 399 events, which points to a repeatable sports betting edge rather than a one-off punt
- They bought Sebastian Baez at 72¢ in a liquid market, backing the favorite with meaningful size
$2,112 on Sebastian Baez | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 25297508, $35,732 (53% win rate)
- 0xba81...dc35 — Outcome 25297508, $14,235 (93% win rate)
- 0x479e...91c3 — Outcome 25297508, $6,981 (81% win rate)
- 0x0a26...1851 — Outcome 25297508, $2,934 (75% win rate)
- 0xf02f...1ed8 — Outcome 25297508, $2,546 (81% win rate)
- 0x6945...729c — Outcome 25297508, $2,285
- 0x8f76...aea6 — Outcome 25297508, $1,773 (81% win rate)
- 0xc661...610a — Outcome 25297508, $988 (86% win rate)
- 0x23de...f320 — Outcome 25297508, $940
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 25297508, $779
