Part of: Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez

Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $45,547.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp serial bettor buying surge

A proven high-volume sharp bettor with an 80% win rate bought Vilius Gaubas before a coordinated, one-sided surge that pushed the price from 64¢ to 70¢.

  • This bettor wins 80% of their trades and is up $3.1M across 1,288 resolved bets
  • Three wallets all bought Vilius Gaubas, with $10.2k total pushing the price up 12 points in minutes
  • The buy came at 64¢ and the market is now 70¢, showing immediate follow-through

$6,565 on Vilius Gaubas | Wallet win rate: 80%

Pro bettor flips with momentum

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 73% win rate flipped from a small Baez position into a larger Gaubas buy as heavy one-sided flow and a sharp volume spike pushed the market higher.

  • This bettor has won 2,519 of 3,471 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
  • They switched off a small Baez position and bought $2.0k of Gaubas at 71¢ as the market jumped 12 points in minutes
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $10.2k total during a 52.8x volume spike

$2,042 on Vilius Gaubas | Wallet win rate: 68%

Sharp cluster chased Gaubas

Four wallets piled into Vilius Gaubas during a sharp repricing, led by two very profitable high-volume bettors, making this coordinated move worth watching despite one weak wallet in the cluster.

  • Two proven bettors led this move: one wins 80% of 1,288 bets and is up $3.1M, another wins 73% across 3,471 bets and is up $6.4M.
  • Four wallets all bet Vilius Gaubas within minutes as the price surged from 64¢ to 93¢ on $257k of 24h volume.
  • The best entries were 64¢ to 71¢, implying they saw a major mispricing before the market fully repriced.

$11,384 on Vilius Gaubas

94% win-rate sports bettor

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 94% win rate bought Sebastian Baez at 35¢ before the market moved sharply in their favor to 56%.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $411k across 171 resolved positions
  • They bought Sebastian Baez at 35¢, and the price has already moved to 56¢ after their entry
  • This wallet has made profitable bets across 53 different events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit

$3,432 on Sebastian Baez | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp cluster chasing breakout

Three wallets piled into Vilius Gaubas during a sharp price breakout, led by two very large and highly profitable serial traders with long track records.

  • Two proven bettors led this move: one wins 80% of 1,288 resolved bets and is up $3.1M, another wins 73% across 3,471 bets and is up $6.4M.
  • All 3 wallets bought the same side for $10.2k as Vilius Gaubas jumped from 64¢ to 74¢ in minutes on 43x normal volume.
  • The biggest buy came at 64¢ and is already marked at 74¢, showing strong conviction behind the move.

$10,213 on Vilius Gaubas

Sharp bettor in underdog cluster

This is worth surfacing because a proven 94% win-rate bettor joined a 4-wallet cluster buying the underdog during a major volume spike, signaling a real contrarian thesis rather than routine flow.

  • A bettor who wins 94% of their trades and is up $411k joined this buy cluster on Sebastian Baez
  • Four wallets bought nearly $9.8k of the same side within minutes while market volume ran 53x above normal
  • They entered mostly at 32¢ to 35¢, suggesting they saw the underdog as materially underpriced

$9,800 on Sebastian Baez

Sharp sports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term record is backing Sebastian Baez, making this a credible sharp sports follow despite only one signal firing.

  • This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $332k over more than $3.3M staked
  • They have traded 523 markets across 399 events, which points to a repeatable sports betting edge rather than a one-off punt
  • They bought Sebastian Baez at 72¢ in a liquid market, backing the favorite with meaningful size

$2,112 on Sebastian Baez | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Outcome 25297508, $35,732 (53% win rate)
  2. 0xba81...dc35 Outcome 25297508, $14,235 (93% win rate)
  3. 0x479e...91c3 Outcome 25297508, $6,981 (81% win rate)
  4. 0x0a26...1851 Outcome 25297508, $2,934 (75% win rate)
  5. 0xf02f...1ed8 Outcome 25297508, $2,546 (81% win rate)
  6. 0x6945...729c Outcome 25297508, $2,285
  7. 0x8f76...aea6 Outcome 25297508, $1,773 (81% win rate)
  8. 0xc661...610a Outcome 25297508, $988 (86% win rate)
  9. 0x23de...f320 Outcome 25297508, $940
  10. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 25297508, $779

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Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez

ResolvedMadrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez$45,547 tracked7 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Vilius Gaubas and Sebastian Baez in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Vilius Gaubas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez

45d ago

$6,565 on Vilius Gaubas at 64¢

Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez

45d ago

$2,042 on Vilius Gaubas at 71¢

Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez

45d ago

$11,384 on Vilius Gaubas at 64¢

Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez

45d ago

$3,432 on Sebastian Baez at 35¢

Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez

45d ago

$10,213 on Vilius Gaubas at 64¢

Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez

45d ago

$9,800 on Sebastian Baez at 35¢

Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez

45d ago

$2,112 on Sebastian Baez at 72¢

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