Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez

This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Madrid Open match between Vilius Gaubas and Sebastian Baez, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, and it can stay open until April 30, 2026 if the match is delayed. PolySpotter is currently tracking $2,112 in smart money activity on this market, with one recent sharp bettor signal.

This market refers to the tennis match between Vilius Gaubas and Sebastian Baez in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Vilius Gaubas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,112.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp sports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term record is backing Sebastian Baez, making this a credible sharp sports follow despite only one signal firing.

  • This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $332k over more than $3.3M staked
  • They have traded 523 markets across 399 events, which points to a repeatable sports betting edge rather than a one-off punt
  • They bought Sebastian Baez at 72¢ in a liquid market, backing the favorite with meaningful size

$2,112 on Sebastian Baez | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcf6c...7e66 Vilius Gaubas, $12,000 (80% win rate)
  2. 0x7002...395c Sebastian Baez, $9,861 (39% win rate)
  3. 0x3905...82fc Sebastian Baez, $9,345 (79% win rate)
  4. 0x9c76...c926 Vilius Gaubas, $6,990 (88% win rate)
  5. 0x84ad...bfb7 Vilius Gaubas, $4,908 (60% win rate)
  6. 0x2005...75ea Vilius Gaubas, $4,122 (55% win rate)
  7. 0x3349...c0b8 Sebastian Baez, $3,985 (83% win rate)
  8. 0x8bc2...4c80 Sebastian Baez, $3,795 (67% win rate)
  9. 0xff81...44c9 Sebastian Baez, $3,734 (44% win rate)
  10. 0x160b...4296 Vilius Gaubas, $3,669 (60% win rate)

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Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez

6d$2,112 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames
Vilius Gaubas
28¢
Sebastian Baez
72¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Vilius Gaubas and Sebastian Baez in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Vilius Gaubas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Sebastian Baez
72¢
69¢
66¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez

4h ago

$2,112 on Sebastian Baez at 72¢

72¢72¢

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