Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Madrid Open match between Vilius Gaubas and Sebastian Baez, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, and it can stay open until April 30, 2026 if the match is delayed. PolySpotter is currently tracking $2,112 in smart money activity on this market, with one recent sharp bettor signal.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vilius Gaubas and Sebastian Baez in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Vilius Gaubas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,112.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp sports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term record is backing Sebastian Baez, making this a credible sharp sports follow despite only one signal firing.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $332k over more than $3.3M staked
- They have traded 523 markets across 399 events, which points to a repeatable sports betting edge rather than a one-off punt
- They bought Sebastian Baez at 72¢ in a liquid market, backing the favorite with meaningful size
$2,112 on Sebastian Baez | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Vilius Gaubas, $12,000 (80% win rate)
- 0x7002...395c — Sebastian Baez, $9,861 (39% win rate)
- 0x3905...82fc — Sebastian Baez, $9,345 (79% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Vilius Gaubas, $6,990 (88% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Vilius Gaubas, $4,908 (60% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Vilius Gaubas, $4,122 (55% win rate)
- 0x3349...c0b8 — Sebastian Baez, $3,985 (83% win rate)
- 0x8bc2...4c80 — Sebastian Baez, $3,795 (67% win rate)
- 0xff81...44c9 — Sebastian Baez, $3,734 (44% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Vilius Gaubas, $3,669 (60% win rate)
