Madrid: Toby Samuel vs Zsombor Piros
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Madrid tennis match between Toby Samuel and Zsombor Piros, scheduled for April 11 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with a 50-50 resolution only if the match is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter has tracked $1,913 in smart money on this market, including recent sharp action on Toby Samuel.
This market refers on the tennis match between Toby Samuel and Zsombor Piros in the Madrid, scheduled for April 11 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toby Samuel' if Toby Samuel advances against Zsombor Piros. This market will resolve to 'Zsombor Piros' if Zsombor Piros advances against Toby Samuel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,097.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
98% win-rate bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 98% win rate bought Toby Samuel at 74¢, making this worth surfacing despite the modest size because the wallet’s long-term edge is exceptional.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $123k on $411k invested
- They have a long track record across 68 events, not just a one-off hit
- They bought Toby Samuel at 74¢, suggesting they priced him well above the market’s current 52¢
$1,913 on Toby Samuel | Wallet win rate: 98%
Linked sharp cluster buys Toby
Three linked wallets with strong historical performance piled into Toby Samuel, and their buying helped drive the price from 43¢ to 72%, signaling coordinated conviction worth surfacing.
- Three wallets funded by the same source all bought Toby Samuel, showing coordinated conviction across linked accounts.
- Two of the wallets have strong records: one wins 98% of resolved bets and another is up $3.26M lifetime with a 73% win rate.
- Their buying helped push Toby from 43¢ to 72%, so the thesis already has strong price confirmation.
$4,789 on Toby Samuel
Sharp bettor caught 43¢
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 73% win rate bought Toby Samuel at 43¢, and the market has since moved sharply to 73%, making this a strong sharp-money signal despite only one detection flag.
- This bettor wins 73% of their trades across 1,712 resolved markets and is up $3.26M lifetime
- They bought Toby Samuel at 43¢, and the market is now 73¢, showing a fast 30-point move in their favor
- This wallet has traded 469 markets across 387 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
$1,029 on Toby Samuel | Wallet win rate: 73%
Proven sports sharp
A very active and highly profitable sports trader with a 73% win rate bought Zsombor Piros at 58¢ and is already in the money as the price moved to 62¢.
- This bettor has won 1,240 of 1,710 resolved trades and is up $3.26M lifetime
- They trade heavily across related markets with $3.6M deployed, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- Bought Zsombor Piros at 58¢ and the market is already at 62¢, showing early confirmation
$1,366 on Zsombor Piros | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Zsombor Piros, $5,131 (73% win rate)
- 0xd48d...5182 — Toby Samuel, $4,938 (98% win rate)
- 0x9348...8cfb — Toby Samuel, $4,763 (52% win rate)
- 0x5aa9...febe — Zsombor Piros, $3,550
- 0xde9f...d43c — Zsombor Piros, $2,522 (50% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Zsombor Piros, $2,360 (52% win rate)
- 0xee61...debf — Toby Samuel, $1,868 (50% win rate)
- 0x6aaa...ddfd — Toby Samuel, $1,404
- 0xce9d...3c05 — Toby Samuel, $1,140
- 0x6814...a9e7 — Zsombor Piros, $1,096
