Part of: Magic vs. Pistons
Magic vs. Pistons
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,241,454.
Categories: Sports, Basketball, Games, NBA
Notable Trades
98% winner fading underdog
A proven sharp sports trader with a 98% win rate sold Pistons at 15¢, which translates to buying Magic around 85¢ before the market moved to 96%.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $693k across nearly $5.9M invested
- The trade was effectively a buy on Magic at 85¢, and the market is now 96¢ after a sharp move
- This wallet has bet across 185 markets and 177 events with the same elite hit rate
$13,505 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 98%
New wallet chasing steam
A 4-day-old wallet with repeat large bets and early profits bought Magic at 90¢ just before a sharp move to 96%, suggesting strong short-term conviction despite the market already being heavily favored.
- This 4-day-old wallet has already made 4 flagged bets totaling $12.5k and is up $811 early
- They bought Magic at 90¢ and the price quickly moved to 96%, showing strong momentum behind the bet
- This market saw a 10x volume spike, but the trade was in a very liquid game market so the edge looks more momentum-driven than hidden-info driven
$2,991 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 89%
8-wallet funded cluster
An 8-wallet funded cluster is piling into Magic as the price breaks higher, suggesting coordinated conviction even though this specific ticket is modest relative to the market’s liquidity.
- 8 linked wallets funded by the same source are betting the same thesis here, a strong sign of coordinated conviction
- This wallet bought Magic at 73¢ and the market has already moved up to 80¢, so the trade is working immediately
- The wallet is new but already active, which can matter more when it appears inside a larger funded cluster
$1,984 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 91%
75% win-rate bettor
A proven 75% win-rate sports trader bought Magic before a sharp 16-point move, suggesting a bettor worth following despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades across 55 markets and is up $4.7k
- They bought Magic at 72¢ before the price jumped to 80¢, an 8¢ edge already locked in
- The wallet has traded 38 markets across 37 events, so this looks like a repeatable approach rather than a one-off bet
$1,761 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp cluster buying Pistons
A highly active and profitable sports trader bought Pistons alongside 6 other wallets in a large one-sided cluster, making this coordinated sharp flow worth watching despite the small individual ticket.
- This bettor has a huge record: 67% wins across 4,148 resolved bets and $15.5M profit
- Seven wallets all bought Pistons in the same push, totaling $45.3k of one-sided flow
- They entered at 41¢, well above the current 32¢ price after a fast 16-point move
$1,179 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 67%
7-wallet Pistons cluster
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 73% win rate joined a 7-wallet one-sided cluster to buy Pistons after a major price move, making this coordinated flow worth watching despite the liquid market.
- This bettor wins 73% of nearly 3,000 resolved markets and is up $5.6M lifetime
- Seven wallets piled into Pistons for $61.7k total, with some linked by the same funder
- The buy came at 37¢ after a sharp move, implying they still see value well above that price
$8,159 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 69%
Sharp cluster buying Pistons
A proven high-volume sports trader with a 74% win rate sold Magic at 50¢, which converts to a Pistons buy, while 12 wallets piled into the same side for $85k.
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades across 281 bets and has made about $180k profit
- 12 wallets all lined up on Pistons for $85k total, showing strong one-sided conviction
- This trade sold Magic at 50¢, which is equivalent to buying Pistons at 50¢ before the market moved to 40%
$36,404 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 52%
Sharp bettor in 12-wallet cluster
A proven sharp wallet with an 81% win rate made a large Pistons buy as part of a 12-wallet one-sided cluster, and the market moved sharply higher afterward.
- This bettor wins 81% of their trades and is up $1.9M lifetime
- 12 wallets all bought Pistons, putting in $43.2k total on the same side
- This wallet bought at 48¢ and the market is now 72¢, showing strong follow-through
$16,449 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 80%
12-wallet Pistons cluster
A 12-wallet one-sided cluster bought Pistons before a sharp move higher, and this wallet is part of a massive serial cross-market bettor cohort with a solid long-run record.
- 12 wallets bought Pistons together for $43.2k, a strong one-way signal on this game
- This wallet has 370 resolved bets, wins 62% of the time, and is up $122k lifetime
- They bought at 48¢ and the market is now 72¢, showing immediate follow-through
$1,280 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 61%
99% win-rate bettor buys Magic
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 99% win rate made a $39.5k bet as part of a 10-wallet one-sided push into Magic, making this coordinated and highly copy-worthy despite the liquid market.
- This bettor wins 74 of 75 resolved markets and is up $285.8k on $929k invested
- 10 wallets all piled into Magic for $69.4k total, showing strong one-sided conviction
- The main buy was $39.5k at 52¢, and the market has moved fast with a 16-point jump in under 5 minutes
$39,510 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 98%
Top Holders
- 0xbd14...d62a — Outcome 38046423, $1,633,470 (97% win rate)
- 0x7d92...8676 — Outcome 38046423, $223,188 (80% win rate)
- 0x1f28...266e — Outcome 38046423, $94,611 (77% win rate)
- 0xd38a...8d26 — Outcome 38046423, $60,072 (82% win rate)
- 0x163e...dc5b — Outcome 38046423, $40,000 (94% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 38046423, $27,934 (69% win rate)
- 0xf28e...cab2 — Outcome 38046423, $23,823 (89% win rate)
- 0x938f...a768 — Outcome 38046423, $19,790 (88% win rate)
- 0x7690...74e1 — Outcome 38046423, $19,147 (80% win rate)
- 0x84cb...28ad — Outcome 38046423, $13,301 (99% win rate)
Related Theses
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