Part of: Magic vs. Pistons

Magic vs. Pistons

21 smart money signals detected, totaling $518,229.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

New wallet scaling Pistons

A 3-hour-old wallet has repeatedly made large sports bets and bought $6.8k of Pistons before the price moved from ~83¢ to 92¢, though the market is very liquid and the edge may now be mostly priced in.

  • A brand-new wallet has already triggered 7 large-bet alerts totaling $21.3k.
  • It bought $6.8k of Pistons at an average entry near 83¢ before the market moved to 92¢.
  • This is a highly liquid NBA market, so the signal is fresh conviction rather than thin-market impact.

$6,799 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 50%

72% whale stacking Pistons

Proven high-volume sports bettor with a 72% record and $6.8M profit is adding Pistons exposure across this event, already moving in their favor from 82¢ to 86¢.

  • This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $6.8M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 1,164 events with nearly $40M invested, suggesting a proven sports edge.
  • Bought Pistons at 82¢ and the market has already moved to 86¢.

$4,490 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 66%

72% win-rate sports whale

Highly profitable sports-focused wallet with a 72% long-run win rate is buying Pistons and has over $30k positioned across this NBA event.

  • This bettor has won 72% of 3,803 resolved bets and is up $6.8M lifetime.
  • They have $30k spread across 3 markets in this same event, showing a broader game-level thesis.
  • Pistons are now around 82¢ after this wallet bought at 87¢, offering a cheaper entry than the bettor received.

$5,533 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 66%

88% serial sports bettor

Proven serial cross-market bettor with an 88% resolved record bought $8.7k of Pistons in a highly liquid NBA market.

  • This bettor has won 88% of 317 resolved markets and is up $119k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 96 events with over $1.0M in flagged volume.
  • Bought $8.7k of Pistons at 87¢, slightly below the current 88¢ market price.

$8,700 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 90%

Serial sports sharp, 77% wins

Worth surfacing because this is a highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a large sample size buying Pistons at 86¢.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades across 746 markets and is up $217K lifetime.
  • They have traded 589 events with $2.9M in total volume, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
  • Entry at 86¢ is already profitable versus the current 88¢ market price.

$5,000 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 81%

Repeat new wallet backs underdog

Three-wallet one-sided Magic flow is supported by repeat new-wallet sizing and cross-market event positioning, though the bet is modest relative to a very liquid NBA market.

  • Three wallets are all taking Magic, a 22¢ underdog, in the same direction.
  • One new wallet has now made five large flagged bets totaling $37.7k.
  • The group has $31.7k positioned across three markets tied to this event.

$6,099 on Magic

7-wallet underdog push

Seven wallets bought the Magic underdog for $26K, including several profitable high-volume sports traders, making this coordinated one-sided flow worth surfacing despite the market being very liquid.

  • Seven wallets put $26K on Magic, all taking the same underdog side around 22¢.
  • Several of the buyers have strong records, including one up $1.0M lifetime and another winning 86% of resolved bets.
  • Entry near 22¢ implies a roughly 4.5x payout if the Magic win.

$26,101 on Magic

85% sharp buying favorite

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 85% win rate and $1.5M lifetime P&L is buying Pistons with meaningful size.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.5M lifetime.
  • They have a huge sample: 787 resolved positions and $5.4M invested.
  • Entry at 79¢ is close to current market price, backing the heavy favorite with $7.7K.

$7,680 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 88%

89% winner bets $105K

Proven 89% winner with $705k profit placed a concentrated $105k buy on Pistons, supported by serial cross-market success and a pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $705k lifetime.
  • They put $105k on the same side at 78¢, a large concentrated NBA bet.
  • This wallet has traded 38 event markets with the same 89% hit rate.

$105,164 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 88%

Magic vs. Pistons

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$13,860 | Wallet win rate: 53%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8c80...02c3 Outcome 10375047, $950,884 (81% win rate)
  2. 0xbddf...c684 Outcome 10375047, $222,317 (89% win rate)
  3. 0xe5b7...5ee3 Outcome 10375047, $200,000 (94% win rate)
  4. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 10375047, $150,640 (62% win rate)
  5. 0xbfe6...fcc9 Outcome 10375047, $29,611 (69% win rate)
  6. 0xcf60...a6f5 Outcome 10375047, $24,500 (78% win rate)
  7. 0x333d...134e Outcome 10375047, $20,026 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x18bb...e5cd Outcome 10375047, $18,807 (65% win rate)
  9. 0x8516...93a0 Outcome 10375047, $16,945 (22% win rate)
  10. 0x575a...bba6 Outcome 10375047, $15,472 (42% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Magic vs. Pistons

ResolvedMagic vs. Pistons$518,229 tracked21 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 29 at 12:00AM ET: If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

ORL
45-37
Little Caesars Arena
DET
60-22
Draft Kings
Spread: DET -11.5O/U: 210.5ML: +350/-455
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Magic vs. Pistons

43d ago

$6,799 on Pistons at 83¢

Magic vs. Pistons

43d ago

$4,490 on Pistons at 82¢

Magic vs. Pistons

43d ago

$5,533 on Pistons at 87¢

Magic vs. Pistons

43d ago

$8,700 on Pistons at 87¢

Magic vs. Pistons

43d ago

$5,000 on Pistons at 86¢

Magic vs. Pistons

43d ago

$6,099 on Magic at 19¢

Magic vs. Pistons

43d ago

$26,101 on Magic at 22¢

Magic vs. Pistons

43d ago

$7,680 on Pistons at 79¢

Magic vs. Pistons

43d ago

$105,164 on Pistons at 78¢

Magic vs. Pistons

43d ago

$13,860

Magic vs. Pistons

43d ago

$28,192 on Magic at 23¢

Magic vs. Pistons

43d ago

$236,279

Magic vs. Pistons

43d ago

$4,589 on Pistons at 77¢

Magic vs. Pistons

43d ago

$1,013 on Pistons at 77¢

Magic vs. Pistons

44d ago

$10,000

Magic vs. Pistons

44d ago

$1,089

Magic vs. Pistons

44d ago

$5,000

Magic vs. Pistons

44d ago

$2,628 on Pistons at 77¢

Magic vs. Pistons

44d ago

$4,083

Magic vs. Pistons

44d ago

$29,514 on Pistons at 77¢

Magic vs. Pistons

45d ago

$6,416 on Magic at 32¢

Related Theses