Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if official information released by any of the following major centralized exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken, official representatives of such exchange (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that the exchange is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,289.
Notable Trades
81% win-rate serial bettor
A proven 81% win-rate trader with activity across 109 events made a sizable buy into a very quiet crypto market, suggesting informed conviction rather than routine flow.
- This bettor wins 81% of their trades across 855 resolved markets and is up $35k overall
- They bought No at 89¢ in a market with only $50 of 24-hour volume, so this single trade was 25.8x the day's flow
- The wallet trades across 109 events and 229 markets, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet
$1,289 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x4337...8882 — No, $8,202 (77% win rate)
- 0xc8ab...6418 — Yes, $7,039 (48% win rate)
- 0x8e8c...6657 — No, $2,781 (66% win rate)
- 0x21d0...ce91 — No, $2,252 (81% win rate)
- 0x5dfd...f842 — Yes, $2,020
- 0x8edb...153a — Yes, $1,316
- 0xee3e...ebb5 — Yes, $1,000
- 0x295b...2e44 — Yes, $1,000
- 0x203c...95f1 — Yes, $943
- 0x07d4...8991 — Yes, $800
