Part of: Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios
Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios
14 smart money signals detected, totaling $106,313.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
High-hit-rate tennis bettor
High-hit-rate tennis bettor bought Adam Walton at 69¢ during a major pre-event volume spike before the market moved to 100¢.
- This bettor has won 86% of resolved trades across 51 bets, despite slightly negative lifetime profit.
- They bought Adam Walton at 69¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
- Market volume spiked 70x versus its normal level, suggesting broader sharp interest around this match.
$2,413 on Adam Walton | Wallet win rate: 91%
80% winner joins Walton cluster
A highly profitable 80% win-rate bettor bought Adam Walton alongside one-sided cluster flow and a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $4.2M lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same side, totaling about $13K on Adam Walton.
- Market volume spiked 48x before the match, suggesting strong pre-event positioning.
$4,740 on Adam Walton | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 71% record and $171k lifetime P&L bought $5k of Adam Walton despite the market later drifting lower.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up $171k lifetime.
- They have traded across 101 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off punt.
- They bought $5k of Adam Walton at 87¢, and the market is now around 82¢, below their entry.
$5,000 on Adam Walton | Wallet win rate: 71%
$16M-profit sports whale
A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Adam Walton amid a major pre-event volume spike, making the directional bet worth surfacing despite modest size.
- This bettor wins 64% of resolved markets and is up $16.4M lifetime.
- They have traded across 3,160 markets, suggesting a broad sports betting operation rather than a one-off punt.
- Market volume spiked over 1,000x normal before the match, and this wallet bought Adam Walton at 42¢.
$8,796 on Adam Walton | Wallet win rate: 63%
79% win-rate serial trader
Sharp profitable wallet with a 79% long-term win rate bought Adam Walton at 89¢ amid a major price move and volume spike.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up about $59k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 83 events with $210k total bet and the same 79% win rate.
- Adam Walton’s price jumped 37 percentage points with a 15.6x volume spike, suggesting strong momentum behind the position.
$2,528 on Adam Walton | Wallet win rate: 84%
Pre-match Walton momentum
A large pre-match Walton buy coincided with a 37-point price move and a 15.6x volume spike, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is poor.
- Walton’s price jumped 37 points alongside a 15.6x surge in market activity.
- The buyer put nearly $6,000 on Walton at 88¢ during the move.
- This is momentum-driven rather than track-record-driven; the wallet is down lifetime despite heavy activity.
$5,995 on Adam Walton | Wallet win rate: 64%
Sharp linked Walton cluster
Surface: a 9-wallet Walton-buying cluster with linked funding, sharp profitable wallets, and a 41-point price move signals strong coordinated conviction despite smaller Kyrgios counterflow.
- 9 wallets bought the same side for $31K, including 2 wallets sharing a funder.
- Several buyers have strong records, including one up $4.2M with an 80% win rate.
- The buying wave moved Walton from roughly even odds to 81%, showing heavy market impact.
$31,147 on Adam Walton
Sharp bettor backing underdog
Sharp profitable wallet with an 86% historical win rate is effectively buying Nick Kyrgios at 16¢ alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $31.6K lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Nick Kyrgios at 16¢, while the market now prices him around 19¢.
- Five wallets have bet the same way for $11.3K amid an 18x volume spike.
$3,690 on Nick Kyrgios | Wallet win rate: 76%
Sharp linked Kyrgios cluster
High-conviction Kyrgios flow from an 8-wallet cluster is reinforced by a standout bettor with a 97% record and $2.8M profit.
- A bettor who wins 97% of resolved positions and is up $2.8M bought $10,000 of Kyrgios.
- 8 wallets bought the same side for $25,929, with linked funding behind part of the cluster.
- Market volume spiked 48x before the match, suggesting fresh attention around this price move.
$25,929 on Nick Kyrgios
80% winner joins Walton cluster
A highly profitable 80% win-rate bettor bought Adam Walton alongside one-sided cluster flow and a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $4.2M lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same side, totaling about $13K on Adam Walton.
- Market volume spiked 48x before the match, suggesting strong pre-event positioning.
$2,400 on Adam Walton | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 48418793, $28,313 (96% win rate)
- 0x336b...1233 — Outcome 48418793, $10,005 (51% win rate)
- 0xef26...05ba — Outcome 48418793, $7,952 (80% win rate)
- 0x6340...e272 — Outcome 48418793, $7,387 (76% win rate)
- 0x6982...a165 — Outcome 48418793, $5,492 (99% win rate)
- 0xd044...a6fe — Outcome 48418793, $4,421
- 0xf5d3...e1df — Outcome 48418793, $3,448 (76% win rate)
- 0x1f35...95da — Outcome 48418793, $2,141 (66% win rate)
- 0x815f...1eef — Outcome 48418793, $2,136 (88% win rate)
- 0x5b05...c092 — Outcome 48418793, $1,724 (92% win rate)
Related Theses
Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring
Covers 3 related markets
Iraq Norway goal fest
Covers 4 related markets
Belgium dominates Iran early
Covers 4 related markets
Czechia wins big early
Covers 3 related markets
