Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $300,082.

Categories: EPL, Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League

Notable Trades

4-wallet Over pile-in

Four wallets piled into Over around 68-69¢ before the market ran to 100%, including two highly profitable high-volume bettors and a new wallet that has already been repeatedly flagged for large bets.

  • Four wallets all bought Over at 68-69¢, and the market is now at 100%
  • Two of the wallets have strong real-money track records, including one up $1.31M across 17,216 resolved bets
  • One wallet is only 2 days old but has already been flagged 9 times, with $32.8k in large bets and $4.0k profit

$7,266 on Over

Proven sharp betting Under

Surface this because a very profitable high-volume bettor with a 73% win rate is taking a fresh contrarian Under position at 31¢ against a heavily bid-up total-goals market.

  • This bettor wins 73% of nearly 2,900 resolved trades and is up $5.4M lifetime
  • They bought Under at 31¢ while Over is heavily favored at 68%, a clear contrarian price call
  • The market has surged 19 points in a day, so this entry suggests they think the move went too far

$3,520 on Under | Wallet win rate: 73%

96% win-rate sports sharp

A highly proven sports trader with a 96% win rate bought into a major breakout on Over despite already elevated odds, making this a strong momentum-follow signal.

  • This bettor wins 96% of 1,653 resolved trades and is up about $90k lifetime
  • They trade across 72 related events with the same strong record, which points to a repeatable edge
  • They bought Over at 88¢ after a 35-point breakout, signaling conviction even after the market surged

$2,004 on Over | Wallet win rate: 96%

Serial timer backs Under

A strong cluster of late money backed Under around 50-51¢, led by a serial near-resolution bettor with a 94% win rate and another wallet up $5.4M, making this a high-signal sports trade worth surfacing.

  • A bettor who wins 94% of their trades and is up $2.0M led the buying at 50-51¢ just before resolution.
  • Another wallet in the cluster is up $5.4M overall, and this group put nearly $53k on Under in 7 trades.
  • The market saw a 456x volume spike, and Under has already moved from about 50-51¢ to 55¢.

$52,987 on Under

Sharp serial timers on Under

A proven near-resolution sports bettor with a 94% win rate joined 3 other wallets in a $48.9k Under bet seconds before kickoff/close, making this coordinated late flow worth following despite a liquid market.

  • One wallet wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $2.0M, buying Under around 50-51¢.
  • Another bettor has made 21 near-resolution bets with a strong edge and $5.4M profit, also buying Under.
  • Four wallets put $48.9k on the same side within minutes of resolution, signaling strong late conviction.

$48,921 on Under

Serial timer joins Over cluster

A high-volume serial sports trader with a 79% hit rate joined a coordinated $248k push into Over just 30 seconds before resolution, a strong real-time information pattern despite the wallet's negative lifetime P&L.

  • This bettor has won 79% of 3,767 resolved trades across 320 markets, showing a repeatable sports-trading edge.
  • They bought Over with 30 seconds left before resolution, a timing pattern that often reflects a real-time read on the game state.
  • This trade matched a 3-wallet, $248k one-sided push into Over as market volume surged far above normal.

$5,226 on Over | Wallet win rate: 79%

73% win-rate bettor

A proven sports-style trader with a 73% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Over at an even 50¢ price during a major pre-match volume surge, making this a solid copy-trade signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 73% of resolved markets and is up $84k on $270k invested
  • They bought Over at 50¢, a clean even-money entry that implies they see better than coin-flip odds
  • Market volume jumped 134x versus its usual level before kickoff, showing broader money moving into this game

$2,870 on Over | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable new whale on Over

A very new wallet with early seven-figure profits just deployed $94k into Over at 50¢ during a major volume spike, making this a strong conviction sports bet worth tracking.

  • This 11-day-old wallet has already made about $1.07M and just put $94k on one side of this market
  • All 6 buys were on Over at 50¢, showing concentrated conviction at even odds
  • Market activity spiked 266x versus normal right before this bet, suggesting sharp money is showing up

$94,222 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

92% win-rate sharp

A highly profitable sharp sports trader with a 92% win rate bought Over at 49¢ into a major pre-match volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 92% of their trades and is up $2.75M across 300 resolved positions
  • They bought Over at 49¢, a near coin-flip price that suggests they see clear value in this side
  • This market saw a 392x jump in activity before kickoff, matching the trader's pattern across 32 events

$3,914 on Over | Wallet win rate: 92%

New whale with early edge

An 11-day-old wallet with over $1.06M profit and repeated large betting activity just put $73.9k on Over in a major EPL market during a massive volume spike.

  • This 11-day-old wallet has already been flagged 249 times and is up $1.07M after investing $2.29M
  • They bought $73.9k of Over at 50¢ across 5 trades, showing concentrated conviction in a top Premier League market
  • Market volume jumped 392x versus normal activity, suggesting strong pre-match positioning

$73,875 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x709e...66f5 Outcome 20050745, $119,806 (82% win rate)
  2. 0x0dcf...c556 Outcome 20050745, $76,583 (94% win rate)
  3. 0xea2b...1fc6 Outcome 20050745, $50,828 (62% win rate)
  4. 0xf3c7...c83b Outcome 20050745, $34,232
  5. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 20050745, $29,509 (73% win rate)
  6. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 20050745, $24,961 (68% win rate)
  7. 0x7236...ea53 Outcome 20050745, $7,339 (66% win rate)
  8. 0x374a...03ed Outcome 20050745, $6,000 (97% win rate)
  9. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 20050745, $5,906 (65% win rate)
  10. 0x37c1...c53a Outcome 20050745, $5,039 (67% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved$300,082 tracked12 signalsEPLSportsGamesSoccerPremier League

In the upcoming Premier League game between Manchester City FC and Arsenal FC, scheduled for April 19 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Manchester City FC and Arsenal FC combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$7,266 on Over at 69¢

Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$3,520 on Under at 31¢

Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$2,004 on Over at 88¢

Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$52,987 on Under at 51¢

Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$48,921 on Under at 51¢

Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$5,226 on Over at 50¢

Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$2,870 on Over at 50¢

Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$94,222 on Over at 50¢

Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$3,914 on Over at 49¢

Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$73,875 on Over at 50¢

Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$2,919 on Over at 48¢

Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

2d ago

$2,358 on Under at 52¢

Related Theses