Part of: Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Vitality and MOUZ in the ESL Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality wins Map 3 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Vitality's round total on Map 3 exceeds MOUZ's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MOUZ". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,200.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

95% winner adding to Vitality

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% record added $3,000 to Vitality in a relatively thin market, alongside repeated cross-market positioning on the event.

  • This bettor has won 193 of 204 resolved positions and is up $342,020 overall.
  • They added $3,000 to Vitality, with an existing $6,250 position in the same outcome.
  • The market has about $1,967 in liquidity, making this a substantial, concentrated bet.

$3,000 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable serial esports trader

A highly experienced, profitable cross-market trader is backing Vitality at 48¢ in an unusually quiet market, with a sizable bet relative to recent volume.

  • This trader is up $1.46M across 1,352 resolved bets, winning 59% at an average winning price of 50¢.
  • The $1,200 Vitality bet is about 13 times the market’s recent trading volume.
  • They have traded across 247 events and 335 markets, showing a substantial history in prediction markets.

$1,200 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 62%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa103...1c14 — MOUZ, $9,044 (80% win rate)
  2. 0xbd87...5f4a — MOUZ, $1,672 (86% win rate)
  3. 0x1025...7e11 — MOUZ, $100 (74% win rate)
  4. 0x6e54...511e — MOUZ, $55 (78% win rate)
  5. 0x021a...d3ae — MOUZ, $42
  6. 0x758d...5d9e — MOUZ, $42
  7. 0x67f6...1651 — MOUZ, $25
  8. 0xb0af...bfd0 — MOUZ, $13
  9. 0x8f9b...8b23 — MOUZ, $6
  10. 0x3b7b...c860 — MOUZ, $5

Related Theses

MOUZ wins despite Spirit taking first two maps

Covers 3 related markets

FURIA wins Map 1

Covers 1 related market

Vitality dominates MOUZ across series

Covers 3 related markets

LOUD wins the series

Covers 1 related market

KT wins Games 2-4 and series

Covers 5 related markets

MIBR will win Map 2

Covers 1 related market

BetBoom avoids a 2-0 sweep

Covers 1 related market

Team Falcons beat NIP

Covers 1 related market

PARIVISION wins Map 1

Covers 1 related market

Invictus Gaming beats LYON

Covers 2 related markets

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$4,200 tracked2 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Vitality
100¢
MOUZ
0¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Vitality and MOUZ in the ESL Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality wins Map 3 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Vitality's round total on Map 3 exceeds MOUZ's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MOUZ". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Notable Trades

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)

2026-10-11 17:11 UTC

$3,000 on Vitality at 48¢

48¢→100¢↑52¢

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)

2026-10-11 17:05 UTC

$1,200 on Vitality at 48¢

48¢→100¢↑52¢

Related Theses