Part of: Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)
This Polymarket market tracks the map handicap for the Counter-Strike 2 Quarterfinal 3 match between 9z and magic in the PGL Astana Playoffs. It resolves to 9z if 9z wins by 2 or more maps, otherwise it resolves to magic; the listed resolution date is May 15, 2026, with $2,821 in smart money tracked and 1 smart money signal.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between 9z and magic in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z wins 2 or more maps than magic in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "magic". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,978.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
95% winner esports sharp
Elite 95% win-rate wallet with $442k lifetime profit bought magic at 60¢ in a CS handicap market, with cross-market specialization and a bet nearly matching recent volume.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $442k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 147 events with a 95% hit rate.
- This $2.8k buy was nearly all of the market’s recent volume, showing conviction in magic at 60¢.
$2,821 on magic | Wallet win rate: 95%
Profitable esports sharp
A highly experienced and profitable cross-market sports bettor bought 9z on a relatively quiet CS2 handicap market, making the wallet track record the main signal.
- This bettor has won 66% of 635 resolved bets and is up about $731k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 226 events, with over $1.5M in detected positioning.
- The $1.2k buy is large for this quiet market, equal to about 39% of the last 24h volume.
$1,157 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 66%
Top Holders
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — 9z, $11,049 (66% win rate)
- 0xf7c2...9b8d — magic, $5,455 (95% win rate)
- 0x8688...9d8c — magic, $3,333 (54% win rate)
- 0x66b1...340f — magic, $2,400 (80% win rate)
- 0x8056...b64d — 9z, $2,025 (49% win rate)
- 0x53ab...65aa — magic, $888
- 0x8e8c...65dd — magic, $782 (47% win rate)
- 0xace6...5556 — 9z, $622
- 0x0cef...fa91 — magic, $583 (66% win rate)
- 0x29b5...cc6c — magic, $284 (59% win rate)
