Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)

This Polymarket tracks the Counter-Strike 2 map handicap for Aurora Gaming (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) in the IEM Rio Group B lower bracket semifinal. Aurora resolves as the winner only if Aurora wins the match by 2 or more maps; otherwise B8 wins this market. The market is tied to the match initially scheduled for April 15 and is set to resolve by April 15, 2026.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between B8 and Aurora Gaming in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 15 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming wins 2 or more maps than B8 in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "B8". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,584.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Proven esports cross-market bettor

A repeat cross-market sports trader with 200 resolved bets and positive P&L just made a sizable buy after a sharp breakout in Aurora Gaming, suggesting a thesis worth tracking despite only moderate historical edge.

  • This bettor has 200 resolved trades, wins 62% of them, and is up about $9.3k overall
  • They bought $3.6k of Aurora Gaming after a 25-point breakout, showing willingness to pay up on momentum
  • The bet is meaningful versus market liquidity, with a wide 8-cent spread that suggests real conviction

$3,584 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 62%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Aurora Gaming, $83,850 (53% win rate)
  2. 0xc257...358e B8, $70,282 (96% win rate)
  3. 0xadfa...324e B8, $15,000 (48% win rate)
  4. 0x507e...beae B8, $9,405 (50% win rate)
  5. 0x0e1b...ecaf B8, $2,773 (51% win rate)
  6. 0x61fe...0956 Aurora Gaming, $2,000 (76% win rate)
  7. 0x21ec...5348 B8, $1,961 (57% win rate)
  8. 0x1633...190c Aurora Gaming, $1,825
  9. 0xd4aa...d40c Aurora Gaming, $1,744
  10. 0x3763...345f B8, $1,565 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 2 related markets

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Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)

3h$3,584 tracked1 signalEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Aurora Gaming
100¢
B8
0¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between B8 and Aurora Gaming in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 15 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming wins 2 or more maps than B8 in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "B8". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Aurora Gaming
102¢
69¢
36¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)

1h ago

$3,584 on Aurora Gaming at 63¢

63¢100¢37¢

Related Theses

Aurora vs B8 Handicap Odds on Polymarket | PolySpotter