Part of: Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,530.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports, blast

Notable Trades

Serial trader caught Aurora move

A highly experienced trader placed an $11.4K Aurora bet amid an extreme 1,697x pre-event volume spike, with the position already moving from 46% to 62%.

  • This trader has resolved positions across 1,999 events, a 61% win rate, and $3.44M in reported profit.
  • The $11,438 Aurora bet at 46¢ coincided with a 1,697x spike over the historical volume baseline.
  • Aurora has since risen to 62%, confirming strong market momentum after the entry.

$11,438 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 57%

Early bettor ahead of sharp move

A $1,610 Aurora buy at 46¢ preceded a 17-point market move amid an extreme 1,696x volume spike, making this notable despite only a modestly predictive historical record.

  • A $1,610 Aurora Gaming bet at 46¢ is now valued around 62¢ after a 17-point rise.
  • The market saw a reported 1,696x spike versus its historical trading volume, supporting the significance of the entry.
  • This serial cross-market trader has 4,314 resolved bets and is up $361,000, though the 57% win rate is only moderate.

$1,610 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 57%

Profitable serial trader backs M80

A highly active and profitable serial trader placed a concentrated $3.5K bet on M80 in a temporarily quiet market, making this a meaningful directional signal despite only modest historical edge.

  • This trader has made nearly $3.0M across 452 markets and is up $1.13M overall.
  • The $3,482 M80 bet was over 18 times the detected 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
  • The wallet has a 60% win rate across 1,100 resolved bets, though its historical edge is moderate rather than exceptional.

$3,482 on M80 | Wallet win rate: 56%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 30024405, $40,000 (88% win rate)
  2. 0x620b...2e9f Outcome 30024405, $17,000 (91% win rate)
  3. 0xf68a...5b1b Outcome 30024405, $8,000 (54% win rate)
  4. 0xc922...2618 Outcome 30024405, $5,000 (58% win rate)
  5. 0xbdd2...6657 Outcome 30024405, $4,444 (82% win rate)
  6. 0x182d...73e9 Outcome 30024405, $3,000 (42% win rate)
  7. 0x2f62...dd4d Outcome 30024405, $2,229 (98% win rate)
  8. 0x7951...bb41 Outcome 30024405, $1,500 (56% win rate)
  9. 0xee7c...70f2 Outcome 30024405, $1,416 (37% win rate)
  10. 0x2b9c...a518 Outcome 30024405, $1,023 (92% win rate)

Related Theses

Spirit will beat Liquid

Covers 1 related market

TDK will win the BO3

Covers 1 related market

Türkiye Paraguay ends in draw

Covers 3 related markets

Spurs cover in shootout

Covers 3 related markets

Algeria fails to win

Covers 3 related markets

Spirit wins, 9z takes map

Covers 3 related markets

Spurs edge Thunder in shootout

Covers 5 related markets

Qatar Switzerland shootout incoming

Covers 3 related markets

Dplus wins series 2-1

Covers 3 related markets

Match will not happen

Covers 3 related markets

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)

ResolvedCounter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A$16,530 tracked3 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSportsblast

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between M80 and Aurora Gaming in the BLAST Open Porto Group A, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming wins 2 or more maps than M80 in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "M80". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)

12d ago

$11,438 on Aurora Gaming at 46¢

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)

12d ago

$1,610 on Aurora Gaming at 46¢

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)

12d ago

$3,482 on M80 at 55¢

Related Theses