Part of: Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,874.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Perfect-record esports bettor buys Aurora

A highly proven bettor with 86 resolved wins and a $590,254 profit is making a fresh near-even bet on Aurora Gaming.

  • This bettor has won 86 of 86 resolved trades, earning $590,254 on $2.23 million invested.
  • The wallet is a serial cross-market trader spanning 133 events and 145 markets, suggesting substantial experience rather than a one-off bet.
  • A fresh $2,156 position backs Aurora Gaming at 49¢ while the market is priced evenly at 50%.

$2,156 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 99%

Sharp bettors converge on Aurora

Three experienced bettors collectively bought Aurora Gaming at 48%, including a 97% winner with a substantial edge over average entry odds.

  • Three wallets put $7,478 behind Aurora Gaming at 48%, creating a clear one-sided position.
  • One bettor has won 97% of 560 resolved trades while entering at average odds of 58%.
  • The other two bettors are also highly profitable, with lifetime gains of $7.7 million and $1.1 million.

$7,478 on Aurora Gaming

97% win-rate serial bettor backs Aurora

A highly proven bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $1,440 purchase of Aurora at 48% in a relatively quiet market.

  • This bettor has won 97% of 560 resolved positions and is up $376,934 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader spanning 62 events and 72 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • The $1,440 purchase accounts for essentially all recent market volume, with Aurora available at 48%.

$1,440 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 97%

Profitable serial esports bettor

A highly experienced and profitable serial cross-market bettor made a concentrated Aurora bet that was over three times the detected 24-hour volume.

  • This bettor has won 62% of 2,566 resolved trades and is up $1.12 million lifetime.
  • The $4,800 Aurora position was 337% of the detected 24-hour market volume.
  • Aurora was bought at 48%, near even odds, suggesting meaningful conviction in a roughly balanced match.

$4,800 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 62%

Top Holders

  1. 0x620b...2e9f Outcome 81234692, $10,000 (89% win rate)
  2. 0xa103...1c14 Outcome 81234692, $7,615 (73% win rate)
  3. 0x7951...bb41 Outcome 81234692, $7,500 (56% win rate)
  4. 0xb9ab...f282 Outcome 81234692, $3,000 (51% win rate)
  5. 0x66b1...340f Outcome 81234692, $2,856 (74% win rate)
  6. 0x7757...cf9e Outcome 81234692, $1,284
  7. 0x2529...548a Outcome 81234692, $748 (51% win rate)
  8. 0xfda6...04cf Outcome 81234692, $717
  9. 0x72aa...90e0 Outcome 81234692, $709 (50% win rate)
  10. 0x79ae...9a4a Outcome 81234692, $548 (94% win rate)

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Hanjin Brion keeps it close

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Miami Marlins will win

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Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)

ResolvedCounter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs$15,874 tracked4 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between NRG and Aurora Gaming in the StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming wins 2 or more maps than NRG in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NRG". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “NRG
57¢
53¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)

3d ago

$2,156 on Aurora Gaming at 49¢

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)

3d ago

$7,478 on Aurora Gaming at 48¢

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)

3d ago

$1,440 on Aurora Gaming at 48¢

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)

3d ago

$4,800 on Aurora Gaming at 48¢

Related Theses