Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)

This Polymarket tracks the map handicap for the IEM Rio playoffs 3rd-place decider between Team Falcons and FURIA. The market resolves to Team Falcons if Falcons win by 2 or more maps; otherwise it resolves to FURIA. The match is scheduled for April 19, 2026, and traders use this market to price the odds of a decisive Falcons win versus FURIA keeping it close or winning outright.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike 3rd place decider match between Team Falcons and FURIA in the IEM Rio Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 19 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons wins 2 or more maps than FURIA in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FURIA". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,390.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

88% win-rate contrarian

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 88% win rate bought FURIA after a sharp 29-point price drop in a very thin book, making this a credible contrarian setup worth tracking.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $174k across 1,182 settled bets.
  • They bought FURIA at 42¢ after the price fell 29 points beyond its prior range, signaling a strong contrarian view.
  • The market is thin with only $230 of liquidity and a very wide spread, so a $1.4k buy shows real conviction.

$1,390 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbed2...d00b Team Falcons, $5,110 (62% win rate)
  2. 0x21ec...5348 Team Falcons, $5,000 (56% win rate)
  3. 0x7645...3117 Team Falcons, $4,000 (50% win rate)
  4. 0xad72...4f5e FURIA, $3,308 (88% win rate)
  5. 0x507e...beae FURIA, $3,155 (50% win rate)
  6. 0xaf6a...925f FURIA, $2,661 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x66b1...340f FURIA, $2,475 (82% win rate)
  8. 0x0e1b...ecaf FURIA, $1,811 (50% win rate)
  9. 0xf171...85fe Team Falcons, $1,188
  10. 0xff34...694b FURIA, $756

Related Theses

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Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)

30m$1,390 tracked1 signalEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Team Falcons
100¢
FURIA
0¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike 3rd place decider match between Team Falcons and FURIA in the IEM Rio Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 19 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons wins 2 or more maps than FURIA in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FURIA". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Team Falcons
102¢
64¢
27¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)

3h ago

$1,390 on FURIA at 42¢

42¢0¢42¢

Related Theses