Part of: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)
This Polymarket market covers the map handicap for Team Falcons vs FURIA in Counter-Strike 2: Falcons must win at least 2 more maps than FURIA for the market to resolve to Team Falcons. Otherwise, including a closer Falcons win or any FURIA cover, it resolves to FURIA. PolySpotter is tracking $19,664 in smart money activity and 2 smart money signals ahead of resolution on May 15, 2026.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between FURIA and Team Falcons in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons wins 2 or more maps than FURIA in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FURIA". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,909.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Perfect-record esports sharp
Elite esports bettor with a perfect 50/50 resolved record and $1.78M profit bought FURIA at 75¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 50 of 50 resolved positions and is up $1.78M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 53 events with over $1.4M in tracked volume.
- A 578x pre-event volume spike and rapid price move suggest this market is drawing sharp attention.
$6,249 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 100%
Elite cross-market sharp
A highly proven cross-market bettor with a 75% record and $18.9M profit bought $13.4k of Team Falcons into a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 75% of 1,126 resolved bets and is up $18.9M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 207 events with nearly $10M in flagged activity.
- A $13.4k buy at 25¢ came during a 578x volume spike, suggesting strong pre-match conviction.
$13,415 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Serial cross-market esports bettor with a strong 74% record and +$45.9k P&L is buying Falcons -1.5 at 27¢.
- This bettor has won 74% of 42 resolved bets and is up $45.9k lifetime.
- They have traded across 30 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 27¢ implies a high-upside view on Falcons covering the map handicap.
$1,425 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable serial bettor
Surfaced because this is a highly experienced, profitable cross-market bettor placing a meaningful esports position, despite the low composite score.
- This bettor has won 58% of 1,308 resolved markets and is up about $10.5M lifetime.
- They have traded across 346 events and 505 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- A $5.8K buy at 72¢ backs FURIA +1.5 with enough size to be worth tracking.
$5,820 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 59%
Top Holders
- 0x47a8...52f9 — FURIA, $75,643 (100% win rate)
- 0x37e4...c991 — Team Falcons, $53,661 (75% win rate)
- 0xd202...8973 — Team Falcons, $20,710 (44% win rate)
- 0xa5ea...d96a — FURIA, $17,235 (59% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — FURIA, $12,500 (66% win rate)
- 0xadfa...324e — Team Falcons, $12,288 (50% win rate)
- 0x52a6...ab62 — Team Falcons, $5,343 (74% win rate)
- 0xaca0...9b86 — Team Falcons, $3,571 (42% win rate)
- 0x12d9...01bb — Team Falcons, $2,900 (29% win rate)
- 0x1311...d450 — Team Falcons, $2,707 (59% win rate)
