Part of: Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5)

This prediction market covers the CS2 IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Round 4 match between FlyQuest and THUNDER dOWNUNDER, using a map handicap: FlyQuest must win by 2 or more maps for the market to resolve to FlyQuest. Otherwise, including any closer result, it resolves to THUNDER dOWNUNDER. The market is scheduled to resolve on June 4, 2026, with $5,200 in smart money tracked and 1 smart money signal currently detected.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between THUNDER dOWNUNDER and FlyQuest in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 4 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest wins 2 or more maps than THUNDER dOWNUNDER in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "THUNDER dOWNUNDER". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $53,222.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate and $2.47M lifetime profit bought $5.2k of THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 52¢.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $2.47M lifetime.
  • They are a major cross-market trader with $4.0M in flagged event volume across 451 events.
  • Entry at 52¢ suggests they see THUNDER dOWNUNDER as mispriced despite a liquid order book.

$5,200 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER | Wallet win rate: 75%

Million-dollar sharp exits FlyQuest

A highly profitable serial esports/sports bettor with a 77% resolved win rate and +$1.33M P&L is exiting FlyQuest, which converts to a Thunder dOWNUNDER buy at 51¢.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $1.33M lifetime.
  • They are a major cross-market trader with $1.88M tracked across 253 events.
  • Selling FlyQuest at 49¢ effectively backs THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 51¢.

$9,410 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER | Wallet win rate: 77%

Profitable esports bettor at evens

Profitable high-volume esports bettor put a $2.4k even-money bet on FlyQuest during a sharp pre-event volume spike in a previously quiet market.

  • This bettor has a long track record and is up about $190k across nearly $7.8M of resolved bets.
  • Their $2.4k FlyQuest buy was larger than the market’s prior 24h volume at alert time.
  • Market activity spiked over 1000x pre-event, suggesting fresh attention on this side.

$2,426 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 58%

Sharp esports cluster

Strong one-sided FlyQuest buying from three profitable wallets, including a 77% lifetime winner up $1.33M, on a very thin esports market.

  • One wallet wins 77% of 1,037 resolved bets and is up $1.33M lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought $24.3K of FlyQuest, more than 10x the market’s 24h volume.
  • Another wallet is 14-for-14 and up $264K, reinforcing the sharp one-sided flow.

$24,307 on FlyQuest

Undefeated sharp on thin market

Sharp undefeated wallet with $263k profit made an $11.9k FlyQuest buy that was over 5x the market’s 24h volume.

  • This bettor is 14-for-14 on resolved bets and up $263k lifetime.
  • They bought $11.9k of FlyQuest, more than 5x this market’s 24h volume.
  • Entry at 48¢ implies they see FlyQuest as underpriced near an even-money line.

$11,879 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5e6e...be00 THUNDER dOWNUNDER, $50,006 (51% win rate)
  2. 0x1136...0c2e FlyQuest, $32,226 (49% win rate)
  3. 0xe40e...9770 FlyQuest, $25,000 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xb7f5...c669 THUNDER dOWNUNDER, $11,555 (48% win rate)
  5. 0xf070...ac55 FlyQuest, $11,111 (93% win rate)
  6. 0x29b5...cc6c FlyQuest, $10,045 (58% win rate)
  7. 0xcf60...a6f5 THUNDER dOWNUNDER, $10,000 (75% win rate)
  8. 0x44c5...8d45 THUNDER dOWNUNDER, $4,374 (77% win rate)
  9. 0xfdd2...0abf THUNDER dOWNUNDER, $1,174
  10. 0x8884...3457 THUNDER dOWNUNDER, $919 (64% win rate)

Related Theses

Dplus KIA wins 3-1

Covers 6 related markets

G2 wins in four

Covers 5 related markets

T1 sweeps Kiwoom DRX

Covers 3 related markets

G2 sweeps Karmine Corp

Covers 4 related markets

NAVI crushes GamerLegion Map 3

Covers 3 related markets

Team WE upsets Bilibili

Covers 4 related markets

Falcons sweep Legacy

Covers 3 related markets

Liquid starts, LYON finishes

Covers 3 related markets

Karmine wins first three

Covers 5 related markets

Leviatán wins in five

Covers 5 related markets

Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5)

13hCounter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$53,222 tracked5 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
FlyQuest
49¢
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
52¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between THUNDER dOWNUNDER and FlyQuest in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 4 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest wins 2 or more maps than THUNDER dOWNUNDER in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "THUNDER dOWNUNDER". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “THUNDER dOWNUNDER
56¢
53¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5)

1m ago

$5,200 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 52¢

52¢52¢

Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5)

3h ago

$9,410 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 51¢

51¢52¢1¢

Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5)

4h ago

$2,426 on FlyQuest at 50¢

50¢49¢1¢

Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5)

4h ago

$24,307 on FlyQuest at 49¢

49¢49¢

Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5)

4h ago

$11,879 on FlyQuest at 48¢

48¢49¢1¢

Related Theses

Dplus KIA wins 3-1
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 6 related markets
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life …Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs D…Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs D…
G2 wins in four
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LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KO…LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KO…LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KO…
T1 sweeps Kiwoom DRX
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LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - …Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Ki…LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2…
G2 sweeps Karmine Corp
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LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Cor…LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Cor…Games Total: O/U 3.5
NAVI crushes GamerLegion Map 3
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Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs…Map Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs G…Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G…
Team WE upsets Bilibili
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team W…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team W…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team W…
Falcons sweep Legacy
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Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Le…
Liquid starts, LYON finishes
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LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5)…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…
Karmine wins first three
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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vin…Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Na…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vin…
Leviatán wins in five
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Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs …Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs …Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs …