Part of: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)
This Polymarket prediction market covers the CS2 PGL Astana Group Stage Round 4 match between FURIA and Gentle Mates, using a map handicap of FURIA -1.5 / Gentle Mates +1.5. It resolves to FURIA if FURIA wins at least two more maps than Gentle Mates; otherwise it resolves to Gentle Mates, with resolution scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 17:00 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $2,366 in smart money and 1 smart money signal, including activity from a profitable serial esports bettor.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between FURIA and Gentle Mates in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA wins 2 or more maps than Gentle Mates in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Gentle Mates". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,366.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports bettor
Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% record and over $1.1M lifetime profit bought FURIA on a relatively quiet esports handicap market.
- This bettor has won 73% of 791 resolved trades and is up about $1.13M lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 46 events, 52 markets, and over $103K in similar positioning.
- The $2.4K buy was larger than recent market activity, showing conviction at a 53¢ entry.
$2,366 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0x7645...3117 — Gentle Mates, $5,000 (50% win rate)
- 0xef26...05ba — FURIA, $4,464 (73% win rate)
- 0xa7df...5eee — Gentle Mates, $3,219 (51% win rate)
- 0xcc6e...fa6f — FURIA, $3,036 (45% win rate)
- 0xb57a...b8c3 — FURIA, $1,149 (76% win rate)
- 0x13c7...11d9 — Gentle Mates, $1,112 (48% win rate)
- 0xd589...27c2 — Gentle Mates, $1,000 (44% win rate)
- 0xa72a...5685 — FURIA, $432
- 0x29b5...cc6c — FURIA, $361 (58% win rate)
- 0x2c9e...fbfd — FURIA, $279
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