Part of: Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)
This Polymarket prediction market covers the CS2 IEM Atlanta Group A upper bracket semifinal between FUT Esports and paiN, using a map handicap of FUT (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5). The market resolves to FUT Esports only if FUT wins by 2 or more maps; otherwise it resolves to paiN, with resolution expected by May 13, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $5,808 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including a recent “95% winner leads buy cluster” alert.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between paiN and FUT Esports in the IEM Atlanta Group A, initially scheduled for May 12 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports wins 2 or more maps than paiN in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "paiN". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,141.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
95% winner backs FUT
Elite 95% win-rate bettor with large lifetime profit bought FUT Esports amid a major pre-event volume spike and extensive cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $428,987 lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 137 events and $395,527 in similar activity.
- The market saw a 154x volume spike, and this wallet bought FUT at 45¢.
$3,333 on FUT Esports | Wallet win rate: 95%
95% winner leads buy cluster
Surface: a highly profitable 95% lifetime bettor joined a 3-wallet one-sided buy cluster on FUT Esports amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 95% of resolved positions is buying FUT Esports and is up $429k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $5.8k total at 45¢.
- Market volume spiked 216x before the match, suggesting fresh money is moving toward FUT.
$5,808 on FUT Esports
Top Holders
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — paiN, $32,263 (53% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — FUT Esports, $30,000 (63% win rate)
- 0x5e6e...be00 — paiN, $17,500 (51% win rate)
- 0xf7c2...9b8d — FUT Esports, $7,407 (95% win rate)
- 0x359c...3272 — FUT Esports, $3,754
- 0xc7ed...6c8b — FUT Esports, $3,000 (65% win rate)
- 0x8056...b64d — paiN, $2,561 (49% win rate)
- 0x8976...7367 — FUT Esports, $2,500 (50% win rate)
- 0xf559...f462 — paiN, $1,791 (88% win rate)
- 0xdbdd...a5de — FUT Esports, $1,762 (52% win rate)
