Part of: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,215.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster hitting Inner Circle

Three wallets piled into Inner Circle Esports in minutes, including one bettor with an 83% win rate and $1.29M profit, and the flow helped drive a sharp repricing in a relatively thin book.

  • A bettor who wins 83% of their trades and is up $1.29M joined this move.
  • Three wallets all bet Inner Circle in a short burst, totaling $4.3k.
  • They bought around 52-53¢ and the market moved to 74¢ soon after.

$4,335 on Inner Circle Esports

83% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 83% win rate bought Inner Circle +1.5 at 52¢, and the market has since moved sharply in their favor to 70¢.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $1.29M across 844 settled bets.
  • They trade heavily across related markets and events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Bought Inner Circle Esports at 52¢ and the market is now 70¢, a strong early move in their favor.

$1,427 on Inner Circle Esports | Wallet win rate: 84%

New whale repeating big bets

A brand-new wallet has repeatedly placed very large bets and just put $8.5k into a previously quiet esports handicap market, signaling notable conviction despite no proven track record yet.

  • A wallet created less than a day ago has already triggered 6 large-bet alerts totaling about $24.8k
  • This $8.5k buy dwarfed the market's prior 24h activity and shows strong conviction in a thin esports market
  • Bought Legacy at 43¢, a low price that implies they think the handicap is being meaningfully mispriced

$8,453 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 57%

Top Holders

  1. 0xec7b...917e Outcome 53328123, $2,800 (39% win rate)
  2. 0x1d5c...4f26 Outcome 53328123, $2,514 (68% win rate)
  3. 0x40ce...bf90 Outcome 53328123, $698 (99% win rate)
  4. 0x56b4...c4ad Outcome 53328123, $197
  5. 0x6347...3047 Outcome 53328123, $70
  6. 0xeab7...b389 Outcome 53328123, $50
  7. 0xce30...3760 Outcome 53328123, $44
  8. 0x93dc...3728 Outcome 53328123, $30
  9. 0xe179...b701 Outcome 53328123, $30
  10. 0xea89...476a Outcome 53328123, $21

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage$14,215 tracked3 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Legacy and Inner Circle Esports in the PGL Bucharest Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 5 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy wins 2 or more maps than Inner Circle Esports in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Inner Circle Esports". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)

45d ago

$4,335 on Inner Circle Esports at 53¢

Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)

45d ago

$1,427 on Inner Circle Esports at 52¢

Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)

45d ago

$8,453 on Legacy at 43¢

Related Theses