Part of: Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)
This prediction market covers the map handicap for the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between K27 and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage. It resolves to “magic” if magic wins by 2 or more maps; otherwise it resolves to “K27,” with resolution scheduled for May 11, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,138 in smart money across 1 signal, including activity from a profitable serial trader.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between K27 and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic wins 2 or more maps than K27 in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "K27". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,138.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial trader
Experienced profitable wallet made a meaningful bet on a very thin esports market, though the signal is modest and price has moved against the entry.
- This bettor is up about $2.1M lifetime across 26,768 resolved trades.
- Their $1.1K buy was over half of the market’s 24h volume, suggesting conviction in a quiet market.
- They paid 76¢ for K27, above the current 70¢ price, so the market is now offering a cheaper entry.
$1,138 on K27 | Wallet win rate: 55%
Top Holders
- 0x2005...75ea — K27, $6,272 (55% win rate)
- 0x12d9...01bb — magic, $5,122 (30% win rate)
- 0xde8f...2c72 — magic, $1,818 (63% win rate)
- 0x0e1b...ecaf — K27, $849 (50% win rate)
- 0x2add...a167 — magic, $319
- 0x0fde...0258 — magic, $295
- 0xe4dd...4f27 — K27, $250 (49% win rate)
- 0xb7ab...16d0 — K27, $195
- 0x54e0...b02c — magic, $133
- 0x6b23...04a3 — magic, $77
Related Theses
Heidenheim will beat Köln
Covers 3 related markets
