Part of: Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)

This Polymarket market covers the Counter-Strike 2 Round 5 match between Monte and paiN at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, using a map handicap of Monte -1.5 versus paiN +1.5. It resolves to Monte if Monte wins by 2 or more maps; otherwise it resolves to paiN, with final resolution expected on June 9, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $3,094 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including recent underdog handicap buying.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Monte and paiN in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 9 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Monte" if Monte wins 2 or more maps than paiN in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "paiN". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,553.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Elite serial bettor buying Monte

Surfacing because a highly profitable serial esports bettor with a 77% long-run win rate bought Monte and is also positioned across related markets.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $3.46M lifetime.
  • They are a serious cross-market specialist, with $5.6M traded across 852 related markets.
  • This $4.8K buy was 64% of recent volume and helped push Monte beyond its prior price range.

$4,830 on Monte | Wallet win rate: 77%

Profitable 77% esports bettor

Sharp bettor override: wallet has a long 633-bet record with 77% wins and nearly $48k profit, buying paiN at 41¢ before the market moved to 46¢.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $48k lifetime.
  • They bought paiN at 41¢, and the market has already moved to 46¢.
  • Their past bets beat implied odds by about 20 percentage points across 633 results.

$1,629 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 77%

94% winner buying underdog handicap

Elite esports bettor with a 94% long-term win record and $4.2M profit is buying Monte -1.5 at 30¢.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $4.2M lifetime.
  • They have traded 598 events and $8.0M across related markets with the same 94% hit rate.
  • Entry at 30¢ suggests they see Monte -1.5 as a mispriced long-shot payoff.

$3,094 on Monte | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcf60...a6f5 Monte, $30,378 (77% win rate)
  2. 0x0dcf...c556 Monte, $10,314 (94% win rate)
  3. 0x4337...8882 paiN, $10,238 (75% win rate)
  4. 0xcf6c...7e66 paiN, $9,136 (80% win rate)
  5. 0x6401...f240 paiN, $7,654 (51% win rate)
  6. 0x581f...9d8e paiN, $3,974 (77% win rate)
  7. 0x0c99...0c88 paiN, $2,000 (49% win rate)
  8. 0x3135...f6c3 paiN, $1,695
  9. 0x41f7...60cf paiN, $1,635
  10. 0xa927...8d9f Monte, $1,523 (90% win rate)

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Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)

4hCounter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$9,553 tracked3 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Monte
69¢
paiN
31¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Monte and paiN in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 9 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Monte" if Monte wins 2 or more maps than paiN in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "paiN". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Monte
101¢
64¢
27¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)

1h ago

$4,830 on Monte at 59¢

59¢69¢10¢

Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)

1h ago

$1,629 on paiN at 41¢

41¢31¢10¢

Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)

2h ago

$3,094 on Monte at 30¢

30¢69¢39¢

Related Theses