Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)

This Polymarket market covers the CS2 map handicap for Natus Vincere vs Passion UA in the IEM Atlanta Group B upper bracket quarterfinal. NAVI must win by at least 2 maps for the “Natus Vincere” side to resolve Yes; otherwise Passion UA +1.5 wins. The market is scheduled to resolve on May 12, 2026, with $1,441 in smart money tracked and 1 smart money signal currently noted.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and Passion UA in the IEM Atlanta Group B, initially scheduled for May 11 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere wins 2 or more maps than Passion UA in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Passion UA". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,308.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable esports sharp buys dip

A highly profitable esports bettor bought NAVI -1.5 at 48¢ despite a sharp move against that side, making the wallet track record more compelling than the modest price-impact signal.

  • This bettor is up $501k across 569 resolved bets, showing a strong long-term edge despite only a 63% hit rate.
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 48¢ after a fast 21-point price drop, suggesting a deliberate buy-the-dip entry.
  • The market is now far lower at 11¢, so this is notable as a sharp-wallet position but risky to chase without updated odds.

$1,441 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable serial esports bettor

A highly experienced esports cross-market bettor with strong lifetime profit bought NAVI -1.5, making the wallet track record more compelling than the modest standalone signal.

  • This bettor has a long record: 569 resolved trades, 63% winners, and about $501K in profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 181 events with over $1M in tracked event volume.
  • Bought NAVI at 78¢ despite the market now sitting around 74¢, suggesting a conviction play rather than passive flow.

$2,315 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable esports regular buying favorite

Profitable high-volume cross-market trader placed a meaningful $11.2k NAVI handicap bet during a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has 1,020 resolved trades, wins 62% of them, and is up $81k lifetime.
  • The market just saw a 301x pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh money is moving in before the match.
  • The $11.2k buy at 66¢ is a clear position that NAVI wins the handicap by 2+ maps.

$11,220 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 62%

95% winner on underdog

Elite proven bettor with a 95% record and large lifetime profit is buying Passion UA +1.5 at 34¢ in a liquid esports handicap market.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $423k lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 132 events and $381k in similar positioning.
  • Entry at 34¢ on Passion UA +1.5 implies a nearly 3x payout if the underdog covers.

$3,333 on Passion UA | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x67bb...b6ef Natus Vincere, $27,500 (62% win rate)
  2. 0xcf60...a6f5 Natus Vincere, $23,500 (63% win rate)
  3. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Passion UA, $15,331 (53% win rate)
  4. 0xac47...d234 Passion UA, $13,995 (45% win rate)
  5. 0xf68a...5b1b Passion UA, $13,290 (52% win rate)
  6. 0xf7c2...9b8d Passion UA, $9,806 (95% win rate)
  7. 0xa7df...5eee Passion UA, $7,500 (51% win rate)
  8. 0xadfa...324e Natus Vincere, $7,029 (50% win rate)
  9. 0x3bae...885a Natus Vincere, $6,500 (57% win rate)
  10. 0xb7f5...c669 Natus Vincere, $5,000 (48% win rate)

Related Theses

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Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)

4hCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$18,308 tracked4 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Natus Vincere
86¢
Passion UA
14¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and Passion UA in the IEM Atlanta Group B, initially scheduled for May 11 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere wins 2 or more maps than Passion UA in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Passion UA". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Natus Vincere
70¢
66¢
62¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)

53m ago

$1,441 on Natus Vincere at 48¢

48¢86¢38¢

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)

1h ago

$2,315 on Natus Vincere at 78¢

78¢86¢8¢

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)

1h ago

$11,220 on Natus Vincere at 66¢

66¢86¢20¢

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)

1h ago

$3,333 on Passion UA at 34¢

34¢14¢20¢

Related Theses