Part of: Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)
This Polymarket-style prediction market covers the map handicap for NRG vs 100 Thieves in the Valorant VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs lower bracket semifinal. It resolves to NRG if NRG wins by at least 2 maps; otherwise it resolves to 100 Thieves, with final resolution scheduled for May 23, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,484 in smart money activity, including a recent signal showing 84% winner buying on NRG.
This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket semifinal match between NRG and 100 Thieves in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 22 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG wins 2 or more maps than 100 Thieves in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "100 Thieves". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,484.
Categories: Esports, Valorant, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
84% winner buying NRG
Sharp, highly profitable wallet with an 84% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought NRG at even odds in a very thin esports market.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $466,982 lifetime.
- They have traded 119 related events, suggesting a repeatable edge in this type of market.
- The bet landed at 50¢ in a thin market, implying they see NRG -1.5 as materially mispriced.
$1,484 on NRG | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0xb10b...0b04 — NRG, $6,300 (84% win rate)
- 0xc83f...23e4 — 100 Thieves, $2,998 (62% win rate)
- 0x7462...3ac3 — 100 Thieves, $1,800 (51% win rate)
- 0xba50...ad0b — NRG, $505 (49% win rate)
- 0x69b9...a5d5 — 100 Thieves, $400
- 0x5011...94b4 — 100 Thieves, $382 (37% win rate)
- 0xb595...5922 — NRG, $376 (99% win rate)
- 0x3cec...d241 — 100 Thieves, $352
- 0x8a3b...5fa5 — 100 Thieves, $278
- 0x2903...9203 — 100 Thieves, $266 (43% win rate)
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