Part of: Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D

Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)

This market refers to the Valorant Elimination match between XLG Gaming and Nongshim RedForce in the VCT Champions Group D, initially scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim RedForce" if Nongshim RedForce wins 2 or more maps than XLG Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "XLG Gaming". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 1, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $199,775.

Categories: Esports, Valorant, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Four-wallet cluster led by 95% winner

Four wallets placed $62,277 on XLG Gaming, including a highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate who is adding to a large existing position.

  • Four wallets bought XLG Gaming for $62,277, with trades entered around 41–44¢ while the current price is 56¢.
  • The largest bettor has won 132 of 139 resolved positions and is up $9.65M lifetime.
  • That bettor is adding to an existing $270K XLG position, signaling strong continued conviction.

$62,277 on XLG Gaming

95% winner adds to XLG position

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate is adding to a large XLG Gaming position amid coordinated buying and a sharp volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 132 of 139 resolved positions and is up $9.65M.
  • They bought XLG at 41¢ while already holding about $208K in the same outcome.
  • Three wallets bought XLG for a combined $34.8K amid a 216× volume spike.

$21,281 on XLG Gaming | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable whale-led Nongshim buying

Three wallets added over $108,000 to Nongshim as market volume spiked 216x, including a highly profitable established trader, though simultaneous XLG buying makes the group’s net view less clear.

  • Three wallets bought over $108,000 of Nongshim, including a trader with $1.38M in lifetime profit.
  • The market saw a 216x volume spike versus its historical average, and the wallets added to existing Nongshim positions.
  • The signal is less one-sided than it first appears: another alert flags $34,812 of XLG buying from three wallets.

$108,576 on Nongshim RedForce

Proven 83% winner backs Nongshim

A highly profitable bettor with 1,854 resolved positions and an 83% win rate placed a $2,900 bet on Nongshim RedForce at 58¢.

  • This bettor has won 83% of 1,854 resolved bets and is up nearly $5 million.
  • They placed a $2,900 bet on Nongshim RedForce at 58¢, with a record spanning 1,126 events.

$2,900 on Nongshim RedForce | Wallet win rate: 84%

Proven bettor backs XLG

A highly profitable bettor with 1,875 resolved positions and an 87% win rate is buying XLG Gaming at 43¢.

  • This bettor has an 87% win rate across 1,875 resolved positions and is up $2.54M.
  • They put $3,541 on XLG Gaming at 43¢, close to the current 44¢ market price.
  • The wallet has traded across 533 events, suggesting a sustained record rather than a one-off bet.

$3,541 on XLG Gaming | Wallet win rate: 88%

Near-perfect bettor backs Nongshim

A highly profitable, extensively tracked bettor with a near-perfect record is making a fresh $1,200 bet on Nongshim RedForce to cover the map handicap.

  • This bettor has won 271 of 272 resolved positions and is up about $399,000.
  • They have traded across 149 events and are putting $1,200 on Nongshim RedForce to win by at least two maps.
  • The entry is 57¢, close to the current 56%–57% market price.

$1,200 on Nongshim RedForce | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7c37...6aeb — XLG Gaming, $270,290 (95% win rate)
  2. 0xda3a...381f — XLG Gaming, $16,000 (65% win rate)
  3. 0x4337...8882 — XLG Gaming, $11,111 (75% win rate)
  4. 0xf1ef...8cd6 — XLG Gaming, $9,999 (61% win rate)
  5. 0x67b6...00bc — XLG Gaming, $5,733 (56% win rate)
  6. 0x8c0b...7aa5 — XLG Gaming, $2,902 (63% win rate)
  7. 0xdb83...1e50 — XLG Gaming, $2,575 (65% win rate)
  8. 0x64c4...1018 — XLG Gaming, $2,000 (96% win rate)
  9. 0x2b9c...a518 — XLG Gaming, $1,500 (95% win rate)
  10. 0xfe67...a2e8 — XLG Gaming, $1,222 (69% win rate)

Related Theses

FUT wins in three maps

Covers 3 related markets

FUT sweeps EDward Gaming

Covers 3 related markets

Monte beats paiN

Covers 4 related markets

G2 sweeps BIG

Covers 3 related markets

TYLOO sweeps 9z

Covers 3 related markets

FUT wins in three maps

Covers 4 related markets

Falcons sweep G2 convincingly

Covers 4 related markets

Spirit sweeps Natus Vincere

Covers 3 related markets

B8 and Mongolz split maps

Covers 3 related markets

Hanwha Life dominates T1

Covers 4 related markets

Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D$199,775 tracked6 signalsEsportsValorantGamesSports
Nongshim RedForce
100¢
XLG Gaming
0¢

This market refers to the Valorant Elimination match between XLG Gaming and Nongshim RedForce in the VCT Champions Group D, initially scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim RedForce" if Nongshim RedForce wins 2 or more maps than XLG Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "XLG Gaming". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 1, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)

2026-10-01 12:18 UTC

$62,277 on XLG Gaming at 42¢

Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)

2026-10-01 12:07 UTC

$21,281 on XLG Gaming at 41¢

Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)

2026-10-01 12:07 UTC

$108,576 on Nongshim RedForce at 59¢

59¢→100¢↑41¢

Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)

2026-10-01 08:36 UTC

$2,900 on Nongshim RedForce at 58¢

58¢→100¢↑42¢

Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)

2026-10-01 04:42 UTC

$3,541 on XLG Gaming at 43¢

Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)

2026-09-30 15:56 UTC

$1,200 on Nongshim RedForce at 57¢

57¢→100¢↑43¢

Related Theses

FUT wins in three maps
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Espo…Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Espo…Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Espo…
FUT sweeps EDward Gaming
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT…Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs ED…Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT…
Monte beats paiN
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 4 related markets
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN …Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN …Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs p…
G2 sweeps BIG
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Ma…Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3…Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG…
TYLOO sweeps 9z
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - …Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (B…Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - …
FUT wins in three maps
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 4 related markets
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (…Games Total: O/U 2.5Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG -…
Falcons sweep G2 convincingly
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 4 related markets
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…
Spirit sweeps Natus Vincere
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere …Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nat…Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere …
B8 and Mongolz split maps
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs …Games Total: O/U 2.5Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs …
Hanwha Life dominates T1
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 4 related markets
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1…LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1…LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1…