Part of: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)
This Polymarket prediction market covers the map handicap for Team Spirit vs Aurora Gaming in their Counter-Strike 2 match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 3. Spirit wins the market only if they finish at least 2 maps ahead of Aurora Gaming; otherwise Aurora Gaming +1.5 resolves as the winner. PolySpotter is tracking $3,578 in smart money on this market, with one recent signal highlighting 90% winner backing on Spirit, and the market is set to resolve on June 12, 2026.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Aurora Gaming and Spirit in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 12 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than Aurora Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,978.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
95% winner backs Spirit
Elite sharp wallet with a 95% resolved win rate and $430k lifetime profit is buying Spirit -1.5 for $16.4k.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $430k lifetime.
- They have bet across 201 events with the same 95% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- The $16.4k buy at 61¢ is a sizable position in a market with $56k total volume.
$16,400 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 95%
90% winner backing Spirit
Sharp esports bettor with a 90% record and strong lifetime profit is buying Spirit across related match markets.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $34.7k lifetime.
- They bought $3.6k of Spirit at 60¢, matching the market’s current best bid/ask.
- They have $8.8k positioned across 3 markets in this same event, suggesting a broader match thesis.
$3,578 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0x30c7...ac3b — Aurora Gaming, $35,000 (61% win rate)
- 0x6902...b4ca — Spirit, $26,772 (95% win rate)
- 0x183f...85e3 — Aurora Gaming, $11,500 (57% win rate)
- 0xee8e...0a7b — Spirit, $10,000 (76% win rate)
- 0x182d...73e9 — Aurora Gaming, $8,145 (40% win rate)
- 0x6e71...e570 — Spirit, $7,681 (90% win rate)
- 0x29b5...cc6c — Aurora Gaming, $7,273 (58% win rate)
- 0x7645...3117 — Aurora Gaming, $7,000 (50% win rate)
- 0xb7f5...c669 — Spirit, $5,555 (48% win rate)
- 0xfa39...bb64 — Spirit, $5,000 (71% win rate)
