Part of: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $340,955.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Elite serial sports sharp

Sharp esports bettor with an 80% record and $4.2M lifetime profit bought Aurora +1.5 at 67¢ and the market has already moved to 74¢.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $4.2M lifetime.
They have traded 305 related events with an 80% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Aurora moved from their 67¢ entry to 74¢, so the market is already following their side.

$3,136 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp esports cluster

Three highly profitable serial esports bettors bought Aurora before a sharp move from roughly 40¢ to 64¢, though there is notable opposing Spirit flow.

Three profitable wallets bought Aurora at 37–47¢ before it jumped to 64¢.
Two of the bettors win 80%+ of resolved trades and are up about $4.5M combined.
This is sharp disagreement, not pure consensus: another larger cluster is buying Spirit.

$5,982 on Aurora Gaming

90% winner joins 20-wallet wave

A highly profitable 90% winner is buying Spirit alongside a large 20-wallet one-sided wave and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $193k lifetime.
20 wallets are all buying Spirit, totaling $476k on the same side.
Market volume spiked 455x before the match, with this entry at 64¢ implying strong confidence.

$9,831 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 51%

Elite bettor joins Spirit cluster

Elite profitable esports bettor with a 78% long-run win rate is buying Spirit alongside heavy one-sided clustered flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up nearly $4.0M lifetime.
20 wallets have all bought Spirit, totaling $476K in one-sided flow.
Market volume is surging 455x above normal before the match, supporting the move.

$12,600 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 81%

98% winner joins 20-wallet push

Elite 98% win-rate wallet is buying Spirit alongside a large 20-wallet one-sided flow and major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 116 of 118 resolved bets and is up about $84.6K lifetime.
20 wallets are all buying Spirit, totaling about $476K on the same side.
Volume has surged 455x ahead of the match, reinforcing the one-sided move.

$3,604 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 97%

Profitable serial trader exits favorite

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor sold out of Spirit despite taking a small loss, making the equivalent Aurora buy notable though less strong than a fresh position.

This bettor is up $482k across 1,782 resolved bets, with a 71% win record.
They have traded 302 markets across 252 events, suggesting a serious cross-market sports strategy.
Selling Spirit at 60¢ is equivalent to backing Aurora’s handicap near 40¢, though it appears to be an exit from a prior Spirit position.

$1,500 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 73%

Linked sharp cluster buys Spirit

A large linked 12-wallet cluster, including multiple highly profitable sports bettors, bought $284k of Spirit amid a major pre-event volume spike.

A 12-wallet cluster bought $284k of Spirit, with two wallets sharing a funder.
Several strong bettors are involved, including one winning 98% of bets and another up $2.6M lifetime.
Volume is 259x above normal, and the entry around 63¢ shows coordinated conviction before the match.

$284,324 on Spirit

95% winner backs Spirit

Elite sharp wallet with a 95% resolved win rate and $430k lifetime profit is buying Spirit -1.5 for $16.4k.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $430k lifetime.
They have bet across 201 events with the same 95% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
The $16.4k buy at 61¢ is a sizable position in a market with $56k total volume.

$16,400 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 95%

90% winner backing Spirit

Sharp esports bettor with a 90% record and strong lifetime profit is buying Spirit across related match markets.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $34.7k lifetime.
They bought $3.6k of Spirit at 60¢, matching the market’s current best bid/ask.
They have $8.8k positioned across 3 markets in this same event, suggesting a broader match thesis.

$3,578 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

0xcf60...a6f5 — Outcome 38946822, $101,000 (81% win rate)
0x6902...b4ca — Outcome 38946822, $26,772 (95% win rate)
0xc3b8...b4d8 — Outcome 38946822, $15,673 (53% win rate)
0xa2e4...bf9d — Outcome 38946822, $13,188 (60% win rate)
0x6e71...e570 — Outcome 38946822, $11,418 (90% win rate)
0x1ff8...5e5d — Outcome 38946822, $10,804 (97% win rate)
0xdf2a...5ae1 — Outcome 38946822, $10,492 (77% win rate)
0x73e3...1be9 — Outcome 38946822, $7,204 (99% win rate)
0xfa39...bb64 — Outcome 38946822, $5,000 (78% win rate)
0x56c9...0d9e — Outcome 38946822, $4,963 (92% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$340,955 tracked9 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Aurora Gaming and Spirit in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 12 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than Aurora Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.