Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $74,817.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Five-wallet Spirit conviction cluster

Five wallets committed $35,938 to Spirit at 44–47 cents, including a proven bettor with a 75% win rate and substantial historical edge, though the market is now resolved at 100%.

  • Five wallets bought Spirit at 44–47 cents, committing nearly $36,000 before the market moved to 100%.
  • One bettor has won 75% of 84 resolved trades while buying at an average 53 cents, indicating a meaningful track record edge.
  • The flow included a $27,000 position and a 10.4x pre-event volume spike, signaling unusually concentrated conviction.

$35,938 on Spirit

94% winner backs MOUZ

A highly profitable 94% win-rate bettor with $3.1M in P&L made a concentrated $20.6K MOUZ bet amid a major volume spike and supporting cross-market activity.

  • This bettor wins 94% of 271 resolved positions and is up $3.1 million lifetime.
  • They placed a concentrated $20,627 buy on MOUZ at 56¢, a meaningful fresh position from a proven sharp.
  • The trade coincided with a 169x volume spike and positioning across three markets in the same event.

$20,627 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 94%

88% win-rate bettor buys MOUZ

A highly profitable serial trader with an 88% win rate and $2.68M profit placed a concentrated $13.3K MOUZ bet amid an extreme volume spike and rapid price move.

  • This bettor has won 88% of 427 resolved positions and is up $2.68M lifetime.
  • The wallet committed $13,345 to MOUZ while market activity surged to 169 times its historical average.
  • MOUZ was bought at 56¢ after a rapid 21-point price move, signaling strong conviction from a proven trader.

$13,345 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 88%

96% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge is taking a fresh position on Spirit at 44 cents.

  • This bettor has won 160 of 166 resolved trades and is up $697,245 lifetime.
  • The 49% average winning entry price versus a 96% win rate indicates a substantial, proven edge.
  • They are buying Spirit at 44 cents in a liquid market after analyzing 161 events and 166 markets.

$2,409 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 96%

Elite sharp backing Spirit

A highly proven bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial positive edge is making a fresh $2,498 bet on Spirit at 45%.

  • This bettor wins 88% of 607 resolved positions and is up $2.55 million.
  • The wallet is buying Spirit at 45% despite the market pricing Spirit at roughly 44%, showing strong conviction in the handicap.
  • The $2,498 position is meaningful in a market with $63,878 liquidity and $44,459 in 24-hour volume.

$2,498 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7c37...6aeb Outcome 97921059, $145,362 (96% win rate)
  2. 0x79ae...9a4a Outcome 97921059, $36,833 (94% win rate)
  3. 0xa4fd...748b Outcome 97921059, $30,000 (88% win rate)
  4. 0xa103...1c14 Outcome 97921059, $12,000 (69% win rate)
  5. 0xdb83...1e50 Outcome 97921059, $9,205 (65% win rate)
  6. 0x6b97...8d30 Outcome 97921059, $8,000 (87% win rate)
  7. 0x182d...73e9 Outcome 97921059, $4,000 (42% win rate)
  8. 0x7e18...872e Outcome 97921059, $2,182 (98% win rate)
  9. 0xc34b...9296 Outcome 97921059, $1,852 (96% win rate)
  10. 0xa3b8...3f4e Outcome 97921059, $1,800 (90% win rate)

Related Theses

BetBoom wins Games 2 and 3, series

Covers 3 related markets

Spain-Argentina stays under 1.5 goals

Covers 3 related markets

Team Spirit completes reverse sweep

Covers 4 related markets

MOUZ will beat Spirit in series

Covers 4 related markets

Thunder win, avoid 220 total

Covers 3 related markets

Aurora sweeps FURIA

Covers 3 related markets

Thunder will beat Spurs

Covers 3 related markets

Morocco routs Haiti early

Covers 3 related markets

Iraq keeps high-scoring match close

Covers 5 related markets

Liquid wins in three

Covers 4 related markets

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs$74,817 tracked5 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Spirit and MOUZ in the BLAST Open Porto Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than MOUZ in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MOUZ". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Spirit
102¢
73¢
44¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

4d ago

$35,938 on Spirit at 45¢

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

5d ago

$20,627 on MOUZ at 56¢

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

5d ago

$13,345 on MOUZ at 56¢

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

5d ago

$2,409 on Spirit at 44¢

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

5d ago

$2,498 on Spirit at 45¢

Related Theses

BetBoom wins Games 2 and 3, series
Wallet_0x79ae0 trades 3 related markets
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVI…Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVI…Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVI…
Spain-Argentina stays under 1.5 goals
Wallet_0x79ae0 trades 3 related markets
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Team…Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Team Spirit completes reverse sweep
Wallet_0x79ae0 trades 4 related markets
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…
MOUZ will beat Spirit in series
Wallet_0x79ae0 trades 4 related markets
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ…Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ…Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOU…
Thunder win, avoid 220 total
Wallet_0xc9748 trades 3 related markets
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5
Aurora sweeps FURIA
Wallet_0x79ae0 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming …Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming …Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming …
Thunder will beat Spurs
Wallet_0xc9748 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Thunder vs. Spurs
Morocco routs Haiti early
Wallet_0xa4fd7 trades 3 related markets
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/…
Iraq keeps high-scoring match close
Wallet_0xa4fd7 trades 5 related markets
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Spread: Senegal (-3.5)
Liquid wins in three
Wallet_0x79ae0 trades 4 related markets
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Li…Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Te…Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Li…