Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)

This Polymarket tracks the Counter-Strike 2 map handicap for Spirit vs RED Canids in the IEM Rio Group A lower bracket semifinal on April 15. The market resolves to Spirit if Spirit wins by 2 or more maps, covering the -1.5 handicap; otherwise it resolves to RED Canids at +1.5. PolySpotter is tracking $7,435 in smart money activity on this market so far.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $7,435.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

91% win-rate esports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 91% win rate made a fresh $7.4k buy on Spirit -1.5 at 71¢, a meaningful signal even in a reasonably liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $176k across 68 settled positions
  • They have bet 125 markets across 115 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off swing
  • A $7.4k buy took 53% of this market's 24-hour volume at 71¢, showing real conviction on Spirit -1.5

$7,435 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0x30c7...ac3b Outcome 60297548, $24,929 (58% win rate)
  2. 0x6902...b4ca Outcome 53833003, $10,459 (91% win rate)
  3. 0x67bb...b6ef Outcome 53833003, $8,084 (63% win rate)
  4. 0x3993...cded Outcome 60297548, $7,888 (68% win rate)
  5. 0x183f...85e3 Outcome 53833003, $7,700 (55% win rate)
  6. 0x507e...beae Outcome 60297548, $5,384 (50% win rate)
  7. 0xea79...a9cc Outcome 53833003, $5,223 (65% win rate)
  8. 0xde8f...2c72 Outcome 53833003, $4,715 (25% win rate)
  9. 0xc257...358e Outcome 53833003, $4,332 (96% win rate)
  10. 0xcd66...664f Outcome 53833003, $4,300 (67% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

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Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)

30m$7,435 tracked1 signalEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between RED Canids and Spirit in the IEM Rio Group A, initially scheduled for April 15 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than RED Canids in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "RED Canids". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)

7h ago

$7,435 on Spirit at 71¢

Related Theses

Spirit vs RED Canids Handicap Odds | Polymarket | PolySpotter