Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)

This Polymarket prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 semifinal between Spirit and Team Falcons at the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs. Spirit wins the market if they finish at least 2 maps ahead on the handicap; otherwise Team Falcons +1.5 resolves as the winner. The market is scheduled to resolve by June 20, 2026, with $22,125 in smart money tracked and recent signals showing underdog buying activity.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Spirit and Team Falcons in the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 20 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than Team Falcons in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Falcons". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,420.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

738-bet winner joins cluster

Strong one-sided Team Falcons buying backed by a profitable high-volume bettor, coordinated cluster flow, and a 121x pre-event volume spike.

  • One bettor has won 71% of 738 resolved bets and is up $112K lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought Team Falcons the same way for $22.6K total before the match.
  • Market volume spiked 121x above normal, suggesting fresh conviction around this side.

$22,638 on Team Falcons

85% winner buying underdog

Sharp esports bettor with an 85% record and strong positive P&L is buying Spirit + map handicap at 35¢.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $11.9K lifetime.
  • They have beaten market odds by about 30 percentage points across 59 resolved positions.
  • Entry at 35¢ implies a nearly 3x payout if Spirit covers the handicap.

$1,782 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0x67bb...b6ef Spirit, $30,000 (61% win rate)
  2. 0x92ee...90e6 Team Falcons, $22,017 (71% win rate)
  3. 0x29b5...cc6c Spirit, $20,078 (57% win rate)
  4. 0x5faf...1183 Spirit, $20,000 (34% win rate)
  5. 0xdb83...1e50 Spirit, $9,870 (68% win rate)
  6. 0xab3e...de25 Team Falcons, $9,300
  7. 0xd055...28d0 Team Falcons, $9,023 (71% win rate)
  8. 0x3adf...2380 Team Falcons, $7,866 (38% win rate)
  9. 0xcd3f...8e2b Team Falcons, $7,600 (96% win rate)
  10. 0x076d...8d4c Spirit, $7,122 (64% win rate)

Related Theses

Spirit wins opener, not series

Covers 3 related markets

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)

5hCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$24,420 tracked2 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Spirit
34¢
Team Falcons
67¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Spirit and Team Falcons in the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 20 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than Team Falcons in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Falcons". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Team Falcons
82¢
69¢
55¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)

1h ago

$22,638 on Team Falcons at 67¢

67¢67¢

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)

2h ago

$1,782 on Spirit at 35¢

35¢34¢1¢

Related Theses