Part of: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,807.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Four-wallet Vitality accumulation

Four wallets committed $15.9K to Vitality amid a 152.9x volume spike, with three adding to existing positions despite limited liquidity.

  • Four wallets bought $15,907 of Vitality, including three adding to existing positions.
  • The trades entered around 45–46¢, while Vitality has since risen to roughly 57%.
  • Buying exceeded the market’s reported $3,763 liquidity and coincided with a 152.9x historical volume spike.

$15,907 on Vitality

94% win-rate esports bettor

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge bought Aurora Gaming at 55¢.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 3,078 resolved positions and earned $1.53 million.
  • Their average winning entry is 61%, yet they have achieved a 34-point edge over implied odds.
  • They placed $2,240 on Aurora Gaming at 55¢ in a liquid market, signaling strong confidence in the underdog handicap.

$2,240 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp bettor makes oversized Aurora bet

A highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial edge placed a $5,660 bet that exceeds the market's 24-hour volume by more than four times.

  • This bettor wins 81% of 1,121 resolved trades and has earned $3.64 million in profit.
  • The $5,660 Aurora Gaming position is 451% of the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thinly traded market.
  • The bet was placed at 55¢, with the market currently pricing Aurora around 56¢.

$5,660 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1037...5b09 Outcome 82523645, $10,000 (91% win rate)
  2. 0xf1ef...8cd6 Outcome 82523645, $8,000 (57% win rate)
  3. 0xda5f...2e9b Outcome 82523645, $3,913 (59% win rate)
  4. 0xf4fc...3303 Outcome 82523645, $3,851 (100% win rate)
  5. 0xf826...e134 Outcome 82523645, $3,000
  6. 0xc922...2618 Outcome 82523645, $3,000 (58% win rate)
  7. 0x7069...325b Outcome 82523645, $1,500 (48% win rate)
  8. 0xabf5...cfeb Outcome 82523645, $1,500 (66% win rate)
  9. 0xf0c1...853b Outcome 82523645, $1,500 (72% win rate)
  10. 0xf878...edeb Outcome 82523645, $1,304 (63% win rate)

Related Theses

G2 wins in five

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Dplus KIA beats KT

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Dplus KIA wins in three

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Karmine wins in three

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Karmine rebounds to win series

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Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs$23,807 tracked3 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Final match between Aurora Gaming and Vitality in the StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality wins 2 or more maps than Aurora Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Aurora Gaming
58¢
56¢
53¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)

3d ago

$15,907 on Vitality at 45¢

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)

4d ago

$2,240 on Aurora Gaming at 55¢

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)

4d ago

$5,660 on Aurora Gaming at 55¢

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