Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will set a new all-time high by December 31, 2026. It resolves Yes if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle records a High above every previous recorded High before the market deadline; otherwise it resolves No. Traders use this market to track the odds of BTC breaking its prior peak before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,891.
Categories: ATH, Bitcoin, Crypto Prices, Crypto
Notable Trades
Profitable BTC thesis trader
A historically profitable crypto-event trader with a 78% win rate sold No at 84¢, which converts to buying Yes at 16¢, making a sizable bet across four related BTC ATH markets.
- This bettor wins 78% of their resolved trades across 134 markets and is up $8.5k overall
- They made a $6.9k buy-equivalent bet on Yes at 16¢ by selling No at 84¢, implying they see the odds as too low
- They have placed $66.5k across 4 related Bitcoin all-time-high markets, showing a coordinated long-term thesis
$6,891 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0x8b4b...541b — No, $71,556 (81% win rate)
- 0x30aa...2bdd — Yes, $28,428
- 0x58f5...be7b — Yes, $27,191
- 0x744c...e37f — No, $24,503 (78% win rate)
- 0x83b9...c672 — Yes, $20,128
- 0x64ad...ca63 — No, $17,185
- 0xfc08...6be7 — Yes, $12,280 (89% win rate)
- 0xf207...74d5 — Yes, $11,652
- 0x245e...183c — Yes, $10,089
- 0x9244...4b6e — No, $10,000 (74% win rate)
