Menorca: Alex Martinez vs Raul Brancaccio
This market refers on the tennis match between Alex Martinez and Raul Brancaccio in the Menorca, scheduled for April 5 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Martinez' if Alex Martinez advances against Raul Brancaccio. This market will resolve to 'Raul Brancaccio' if Raul Brancaccio advances against Alex Martinez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,555.
Notable Trades
4-wallet dogpile on longshot
Four wallets piled nearly $10k into a longshot tennis side during a 61x volume spike, including one bettor with an 83% win rate, making this coordinated contrarian flow worth watching despite the market moving against them afterward.
- Four wallets all bet Alex Martinez at 20¢ to 26¢ for nearly $10k total in a tight 6-minute burst.
- One of the wallets wins 83% of its resolved bets, and the group hit during a 61x jump in market volume.
- They bought a big underdog price that implied a 4x to 5x payoff if their read was right.
$9,946 on Alex Martinez
Profitable contrarian sports bettor
A profitable high-volume sports trader bought Alex Martinez before a sharp 18-point price collapse in a match drawing unusual volume, making this a notable contrarian spot to watch.
- This bettor has made 291 resolved bets, wins 60% of the time, and is up about $199k overall.
- They bought Alex Martinez at 45¢ before the price fell to 24¢, showing a clear willingness to take a contrarian stand.
- This match saw a 41x volume spike and an 18-point move in just over 3 minutes, so the market is getting unusual attention.
$1,316 on Alex Martinez | Wallet win rate: 60%
3-wallet tennis pile-in
Three experienced high-volume wallets piled into Raul Brancaccio together, triggering a one-sided flow signal and moving the price from 47-65¢ up to 78¢ during a major volume spike.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $16k in minutes, pushing Raul Brancaccio from 47-65¢ up to 78¢
- Market volume ran 28.8x above normal while price jumped 18 points, showing strong momentum behind the move
- These are active repeat bettors with thousands of resolved trades, so this looks more deliberate than random retail flow
$16,009 on Raul Brancaccio
83% win-rate tennis bettor
A historically strong sports bettor with an 83% win rate put $5.3k into Alex Martinez during an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the market moving against their entry afterward.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $253k overall.
- They put $5.3k on Alex Martinez at 52¢ during a 189x volume surge before the match.
- The price has since dropped to 43¢, offering a much better entry if this bettor's read is right.
$5,284 on Alex Martinez | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xe30e...6b87 — Alex Martinez, $125,438 (83% win rate)
- 0xee61...debf — Raul Brancaccio, $35,927 (50% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Raul Brancaccio, $31,821 (50% win rate)
- 0xde9f...d43c — Raul Brancaccio, $29,646 (50% win rate)
- 0xda3a...381f — Alex Martinez, $27,954 (60% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Raul Brancaccio, $23,259 (76% win rate)
- 0x6fc4...c89d — Raul Brancaccio, $10,085 (100% win rate)
- 0xb6f5...c8ce — Alex Martinez, $5,562 (67% win rate)
- 0x2652...2a1d — Raul Brancaccio, $4,257
- 0x1624...bf63 — Raul Brancaccio, $3,650
