Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefano Napolitano

This Polymarket-style prediction market tracks who will advance in the Mexico City tennis match between James Duckworth and Stefano Napolitano, scheduled for April 12 at 4:30 PM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with cancellation or delays beyond 7 days triggering the listed market rules. PolySpotter is tracking $2,601 in smart money across 2 signals, including alerts pointing to notable activity on Duckworth.

This market refers on the tennis match between James Duckworth and Stefano Napolitano in the Mexico City, scheduled for April 12 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Duckworth' if James Duckworth advances against Stefano Napolitano. This market will resolve to 'Stefano Napolitano' if Stefano Napolitano advances against James Duckworth. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,510.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable new wallet pressing

A very new wallet with early profits is already making repeat four-figure bets, and this buy landed during an unusually large pre-match volume surge.

  • This wallet is only 11 hours old but has already gone 3 for 3 and is up $634.
  • They just made another $1.5k buy on James Duckworth after already triggering repeat large-bet alerts.
  • Match volume is running about 122x normal, so this bettor is joining a sharp burst of pre-event activity.

$1,530 on James Duckworth | Wallet win rate: 100%

77% win-rate tennis bettor

A historically profitable bettor with a 77% win rate sold Stefano at 46¢, which translates to buying James around 54¢ during an unusual pre-match volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 77% of their trades across 60 resolved markets and is profitable overall.
  • They effectively backed James Duckworth at about 54¢ by selling Stefano at 46¢.
  • The bet came during a 122x jump in market activity, suggesting sharper money is showing up before the match.

$1,071 on James Duckworth | Wallet win rate: 77%

4-wallet Duckworth cluster

Four wallets piled into James Duckworth during an unusually large pre-match volume spike, including one profitable new wallet and one proven 77% winner, making this coordinated flow worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.

  • Four wallets all bet James Duckworth, putting in $6.4k in the same direction.
  • This hit during a 127x volume spike, showing a sudden rush of money into the match.
  • One wallet is a new account already up $634, and another wins 77% of resolved bets.

$6,400 on James Duckworth

Pro sports bettor value buy

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate made a fresh $7.5k buy on Stefano Napolitano at 33¢ before the market moved sharply higher amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 1,475 of 2,013 resolved trades and is up $3.6M lifetime.
  • They bought Stefano Napolitano at 33¢, and the market is now 46¢, suggesting they caught a big mispricing early.
  • Volume surged 324x above normal, and this was a fresh position after closing a tiny opposite-side trade.

$7,509 on Stefano Napolitano | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0xde9f...d43c Stefano Napolitano, $25,412 (50% win rate)
  2. 0xd218...b5c9 James Duckworth, $22,975 (48% win rate)
  3. 0x5aa9...febe James Duckworth, $15,403
  4. 0x507e...beae Stefano Napolitano, $11,818 (50% win rate)
  5. 0x42c9...9623 Stefano Napolitano, $9,266 (50% win rate)
  6. 0x0a26...1851 Stefano Napolitano, $7,987 (72% win rate)
  7. 0x47c3...f7e8 James Duckworth, $6,695 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x31c1...7047 James Duckworth, $6,153 (47% win rate)
  9. 0xee61...debf Stefano Napolitano, $5,874 (50% win rate)
  10. 0x0ebb...cb1a James Duckworth, $5,096 (43% win rate)

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Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefano Napolitano

6d$16,510 tracked4 signalsTennisSportsGames
James Duckworth
30¢
Stefano Napolitano
71¢

This market refers on the tennis match between James Duckworth and Stefano Napolitano in the Mexico City, scheduled for April 12 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Duckworth' if James Duckworth advances against Stefano Napolitano. This market will resolve to 'Stefano Napolitano' if Stefano Napolitano advances against James Duckworth. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefano Napolitano

2h ago

$1,530 on James Duckworth at 51¢

51¢30¢21¢

Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefano Napolitano

2h ago

$1,071 on James Duckworth at 54¢

54¢30¢24¢

Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefano Napolitano

2h ago

$6,400 on James Duckworth at 55¢

55¢30¢25¢

Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefano Napolitano

2h ago

$7,509 on Stefano Napolitano at 33¢

33¢71¢38¢

Related Theses

Duckworth vs Napolitano Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter