Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitano
This Polymarket covers the Mexico City tennis match between Luka Pavlovic and Stefano Napolitano, scheduled for April 11 at 4:30 PM ET. Traders are pricing which player will advance, making it a live source for Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitano prediction market odds. The market resolves when a winner is determined, or otherwise according to cancellation and delay rules if the match is not completed within 7 days.
This market refers on the tennis match between Luka Pavlovic and Stefano Napolitano in the Mexico City, scheduled for April 11 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Stefano Napolitano. This market will resolve to 'Stefano Napolitano' if Stefano Napolitano advances against Luka Pavlovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,946.
Categories: Sports, Games, Tennis
Notable Trades
Profitable tennis regular
Profitable high-volume sports trader with 330 resolved bets bought nearly $5k of the favorite after a sharp market move, suggesting a thesis worth tracking despite only moderate edge.
- This bettor has 330 resolved bets, wins 62% of them, and is up about $81k overall
- They put nearly $5k on Stefano Napolitano after a 20-point price jump, showing real conviction
- The bet came at 80¢ on a liquid market, so this looks like a deliberate favorite play rather than random thin-market noise
$4,970 on Stefano Napolitano | Wallet win rate: 62%
72% win-rate sports bettor
A high-volume serial sports trader with a 72% win rate and nearly $300k in profit is buying Stefano Napolitano at 60¢, making this a credible follow despite only one signal.
- This bettor wins 72% of 630 resolved trades and is up about $296k lifetime
- They've traded 445 markets across 332 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- Bought Stefano Napolitano at 60¢, a clear favorite price in a liquid match market
$1,976 on Stefano Napolitano | Wallet win rate: 72%
Top Holders
- 0x6aee...fad4 — Stefano Napolitano, $16,648 (62% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Luka Pavlovic, $14,752 (73% win rate)
- 0x0979...8d9b — Stefano Napolitano, $13,149 (57% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Stefano Napolitano, $7,105 (50% win rate)
- 0xde9f...d43c — Luka Pavlovic, $3,614 (50% win rate)
- 0xfded...312c — Luka Pavlovic, $3,559
- 0x0a26...1851 — Stefano Napolitano, $3,293 (72% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Stefano Napolitano, $3,130
- 0x2005...75ea — Luka Pavlovic, $2,578 (52% win rate)
- 0x79bf...0de5 — Luka Pavlovic, $2,107
