Mexico City: Tibo Colson vs Alex Hernandez
This Polymarket tracks the Mexico City tennis match between Tibo Colson and Alex Hernandez, scheduled for April 10 at 12:00 PM ET. Traders are pricing which player will advance, with the market resolving to the winning player or 50-50 if the match is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days. Resolution is set for April 17, 2026.
This market refers on the tennis match between Tibo Colson and Alex Hernandez in the Mexico City, scheduled for April 10 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tibo Colson' if Tibo Colson advances against Alex Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Alex Hernandez' if Alex Hernandez advances against Tibo Colson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,439.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
13-wallet tennis cluster
A 13-wallet funded cluster piled into Tibo Colson around 72-75¢ and helped push the price sharply higher, with at least two high-volume wallets showing meaningful long-term profitability.
- 13 linked wallets share the same funder, and 4 of them bought the same side for $6.7k in minutes
- They got in at 72-75¢ before the market jumped to 92¢, a 17-20 point move from their entry
- Two of the wallets have thousands of resolved bets, including one up $1.1M lifetime and another winning 62% of 4,751 bets
$6,680 on Tibo Colson
Repeat new-wallet sports whale
A 2-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and here sold Alex Hernandez at 45¢ before the market moved sharply against Alex to 28%, showing strong short-term conviction despite no proven long-term track record.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 8 large-bet alerts with about $12k flagged total
- They sold Alex Hernandez at 45¢, and the market is now 28¢ on Alex, so this call moved in their favor fast
- The bet was meaningful size for a single sports trade and came during a sharp price move
$1,582 on Tibo Colson | Wallet win rate: 0%
New wallet repeat whale
A 2-day-old wallet has already fired seven large alerts and is now making another meaningful buy on the underdog, suggesting repeat high-conviction activity worth watching despite limited track record.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 7 large-bet alerts with $10.4k flagged total
- They just bought Alex Hernandez at 37¢, backing the underdog after the market moved 15.5 points in a day
- This is fresh conviction rather than profit-taking, and the bet is large enough to matter even in a liquid market
$1,177 on Alex Hernandez | Wallet win rate: 0%
Top Holders
- 0x2005...75ea — Tibo Colson, $7,802 (52% win rate)
- 0x42c9...9623 — Alex Hernandez, $4,858 (50% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Alex Hernandez, $3,899 (50% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Tibo Colson, $2,800 (54% win rate)
- 0x0e1b...ecaf — Tibo Colson, $1,809 (53% win rate)
- 0x86fb...03d4 — Tibo Colson, $1,746 (62% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Alex Hernandez, $1,621
- 0xa065...b825 — Alex Hernandez, $1,442 (0% win rate)
- 0x4738...4687 — Alex Hernandez, $1,441
- 0x046c...2a9c — Alex Hernandez, $1,391
