Part of: Mexico vs. Ecuador - Second Half Result

Mexico to win the second half?

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $88,755.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

89% win-rate whale

Elite profitable wallet with an 89% historical win rate is buying Mexico to win the second half amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
  • They have bet across 675 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge rather than a one-off wager.
  • Market volume is running 172x above its historical average, and this wallet bought Mexico at 37¢.

$1,299 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

85% winner-led No cluster

High-conviction cluster led by an 85% lifetime winner with $8.1M profit, backed by one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • A bettor who wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $8.1M joined this position.
  • Four wallets bought the same side for $11.6K, pushing No from roughly 58–68¢ to 70¢.
  • Market volume spiked 94x above normal ahead of the match, suggesting meaningful pre-game positioning.

$11,555 on No

Proven sharp in Yes cluster

A highly profitable 89% winner joined a $13.3k one-sided Yes cluster during a major pre-game volume spike.

  • One bettor in this cluster wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $2.3M lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought $13.3k of Yes while market activity spiked 179x above normal.
  • Entry around 38¢ implies they see Mexico winning the second half as underpriced.

$13,281 on Yes

Profitable serial trader buys NO

A profitable, very active cross-market trader put $34k on No during a 179x volume spike, making this a notable live-sports conviction bet despite only moderate historical hit rate.

  • This bettor is up $394k across 1,729 resolved markets, with a 58% hit rate.
  • They put $34k on No across six buys, larger than the market’s current $22.6k liquidity.
  • Volume spiked 179x above normal, suggesting this was part of a broader rush into the market.

$34,126 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%

89% win-rate whale

Elite profitable wallet with an 89% historical win rate is buying Mexico to win the second half amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
  • They have bet across 675 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge rather than a one-off wager.
  • Market volume is running 172x above its historical average, and this wallet bought Mexico at 37¢.

$2,336 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

High-volume bettor on No

Experienced high-volume bettor put $26k on No alongside a sharp pre-event volume spike, though the wallet’s win rate is solid rather than elite.

  • This bettor is up $394k lifetime and has traded across 1,729 resolved markets.
  • They put $26k on No at 64¢, a sizable position relative to the market’s $18.7k liquidity.
  • Market activity spiked 172x above its usual pace before the game.

$26,157 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf28e...cab2 Outcome 22435216, $65,598 (89% win rate)
  2. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 22435216, $32,208 (71% win rate)
  3. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 36187412, $6,869
  4. 0x39fc...e2f2 Outcome 22435216, $6,066 (54% win rate)
  5. 0xdd5e...9040 Outcome 22435216, $4,939 (76% win rate)
  6. 0x2f26...0d8f Outcome 22435216, $4,925
  7. 0x551c...fe91 Outcome 22435216, $1,611 (72% win rate)
  8. 0x2ecb...7645 Outcome 22435216, $1,592 (49% win rate)
  9. 0xeb79...47a9 Outcome 22435216, $1,533
  10. 0xb9b2...8e7d Outcome 22435216, $788

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Mexico to win the second half?

ResolvedMexico vs. Ecuador - Second Half Result$88,755 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mexico" if Mexico score more goals than Ecuador in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Mexico and Ecuador score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ecuador" if Ecuador score more goals than Mexico in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Mexico to win the second half?

23h ago

$1,299 on Yes at 37¢

Mexico to win the second half?

23h ago

$11,555 on No at 63¢

Mexico to win the second half?

23h ago

$13,281 on Yes at 38¢

Mexico to win the second half?

23h ago

$34,126 on No at 63¢

Mexico to win the second half?

23h ago

$2,336 on Yes at 37¢

Mexico to win the second half?

1d ago

$26,157 on No at 64¢

Related Theses