Part of: Mexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets

Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,853.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

97% winner leads Over cluster

A highly profitable 97% winner is the key signal, joining a 3-wallet $6.1k buy cluster on Over despite recent price weakness.

  • The strongest bettor here wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $27,978 lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought the same Over side for $6.1k total, led by a $3.5k entry from the sharp wallet.
  • Entry around 55¢ means they are betting on a first-half goal even after Over fell 7 points today.

$6,135 on Over

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought Over amid a major pre-event volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite modest bet size in a liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 2,492 resolved bets and is up $347K lifetime.
  • They are a very active cross-market trader, with $1.24M deployed across 668 markets.
  • Market activity spiked over 1,000x versus normal levels before this bet.

$2,464 on Over | Wallet win rate: 69%

Sharp cluster buying Under

Six wallets bought $22.3k of Under at 46¢, led by a highly profitable 94% winner and supported by a pre-game volume spike.

  • A bettor who wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $890k joined this Under position.
  • Six wallets bought the same side for $22.3k within 14 minutes at 46¢.
  • Market volume is running 16.7x above its usual pace ahead of kickoff.

$22,254 on Under

Profitable new whale on Over

A very new but already profitable repeat bettor put $11k on Over alongside a huge pre-event volume spike, making this a notable copy-trade candidate.

  • This 4-day-old bettor is already up $8.9k and has won all 5 resolved bets so far.
  • They put $11k on Over at 56¢, adding to $50.8k of flagged recent action from this wallet.
  • Market activity spiked more than 1,800x versus its historical average before kickoff.

$11,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x639c...31e2 Outcome 59470794, $59,887 (44% win rate)
  2. 0xa1f3...d99c Outcome 59470794, $48,773 (92% win rate)
  3. 0xd86e...45ce Outcome 59470794, $46,242 (95% win rate)
  4. 0x67ac...edf1 Outcome 59470794, $41,864 (64% win rate)
  5. 0x9a54...7191 Outcome 59470794, $27,759 (81% win rate)
  6. 0x379a...5122 Outcome 59470794, $24,300 (98% win rate)
  7. 0xf421...cff4 Outcome 59470794, $23,913 (97% win rate)
  8. 0x1d2e...896d Outcome 59470794, $16,472 (55% win rate)
  9. 0x0c84...a8ed Outcome 59470794, $16,349 (94% win rate)
  10. 0x26db...ba92 Outcome 59470794, $15,000

Related Theses

Brazil Morocco stays low scoring

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Sweden Tunisia exceeds 2.5 goals

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Tunisia-Japan tops 2.5 goals

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Spain wins 2026 World Cup

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First half stays goalless

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Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5

ResolvedMexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets$41,853 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Mexico and Ecuador combine to score 1 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If the combined first-half total is less than 1 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Over
62¢
57¢
52¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5

1d ago

$6,135 on Over at 55¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5

1d ago

$2,464 on Over at 56¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5

1d ago

$22,254 on Under at 46¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5

1d ago

$11,000 on Over at 56¢

Related Theses