Part of: Mexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Mexico and Ecuador combine to score 1 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 1, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,140.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

80% winner buying longshot Under

Surfaced because the bettor has a strong 12-of-15 resolved track record and is buying the contrarian Under at 16¢ despite a liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 12 of 15 resolved bets and is up $3.5K lifetime.
  • Their past wins came at much longer odds on average, suggesting real edge rather than just backing favorites.
  • Buying Under at 16¢ implies they see the 0-0 outcome as underpriced.

$1,120 on Under | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp cluster buying Under

Three profitable wallets, including one up $1.7M lifetime, are coordinating on Under 0.5 goals at 16¢ with broader cross-market positioning on the same match.

  • Three wallets are all buying Under at 16¢, including bettors with 87% and 78% lifetime win rates.
  • One wallet is up $1.7M lifetime, making this more than a simple small underdog punt.
  • The group has also traded 6 related markets on this match, totaling nearly $25k in event exposure.

$4,323 on Under

Serial sports bettors cluster

Three wallets, including two profitable high-volume serial sports bettors, clustered on Over 0.5 with related cross-market positioning on the same match.

  • Two bettors in this cluster win about 70–74% of resolved trades and are up a combined $136K lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $5.7K at 85–86¢, showing coordinated conviction on at least one goal.
  • The strongest wallets are serial cross-market sports traders with hundreds of events and over $2M combined deployed.

$5,697 on Over

Top Holders

  1. 0x204f...5e14 Over, $65,063 (53% win rate)
  2. 0x076d...8d4c Under, $41,493 (64% win rate)
  3. 0x94e4...87e0 Under, $31,273 (21% win rate)
  4. 0xf031...c80c Under, $23,810 (91% win rate)
  5. 0x0346...52a5 Over, $21,549 (53% win rate)
  6. 0x1d16...212e Under, $15,278 (87% win rate)
  7. 0x6d3f...a942 Over, $10,824 (68% win rate)
  8. 0xdb85...152f Under, $10,000 (78% win rate)
  9. 0x3cd6...18e4 Under, $7,000 (80% win rate)
  10. 0x03b8...b4ae Under, $6,250 (72% win rate)

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5

ResolvedMexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets$11,140 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Over
84¢
Under
17¢

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Mexico and Ecuador combine to score 1 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 1, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Ecuador
ECU
World Cup
Mexico
MEX
Polymarket: 84¢
Venue
Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Price History — “Over
88¢
85¢
82¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5

1d ago

$1,120 on Under at 16¢

16¢17¢1¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5

1d ago

$4,323 on Under at 16¢

16¢17¢1¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5

1d ago

$5,697 on Over at 86¢

86¢84¢2¢