Part of: Mexico vs. Serbia - More Markets
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,785.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly
Notable Trades
77% winner buying dip
Surface because a highly profitable 77% lifetime bettor with extensive cross-market history bought Under despite a sharp market move against that side.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $569K lifetime.
- They have traded across 149 events with the same 77% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- They bought Under at 44¢ after a major move, implying they see value against the current market direction.
$1,190 on Under | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable new wallet repeats
A repeat new wallet with early profits is making a large Under bet that exceeds the market's full 24h volume on a quiet sports market.
- This new bettor is 5-for-5 on resolved trades and up $1,969 so far.
- They bought $2.5K of Under, about 165% of the market’s entire 24h volume.
- This is their 5th flagged large bet, suggesting repeated conviction rather than a one-off wager.
$2,523 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable new sports wallet
A young profitable wallet is making another large sports bet, buying $3.1k of Under in a quiet market where the order materially exceeds 24h volume.
- This 27-day-old bettor is 3-for-3 so far and up $1,182 on resolved bets.
- The $3.1k Under buy is about 2x this market’s entire 24h volume.
- This is their second flagged large bet, suggesting repeat conviction rather than a one-off trade.
$3,072 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x49b6...326c — Outcome 62657619, $3,701 (100% win rate)
- 0x8b30...46f2 — Outcome 62657619, $3,643 (100% win rate)
- 0xd6ce...7ec8 — Outcome 62657619, $1,675 (82% win rate)
- 0x6553...7a71 — Outcome 62657619, $602
- 0x140e...cf85 — Outcome 62657619, $507
- 0x0176...910e — Outcome 62657619, $341 (86% win rate)
- 0x72a6...cfef — Outcome 62657619, $314
- 0x3ee7...f36e — Outcome 62657619, $302
- 0xb1a0...fb89 — Outcome 62657619, $227
- 0xb65e...431a — Outcome 62657619, $221
Related Theses
Concepción-Calera stays under 2.5
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Kashiwa Kyoto stay low-scoring
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Peru Spain stay low-scoring
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Shimizu Gamba stays low scoring
Covers 1 related market
Ajax Utrecht stays low scoring
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Chengdu Shandong stays low scoring
Covers 1 related market
City Villa under 3.5 goals
Covers 1 related market
Brighton United under 4.5 goals
Covers 1 related market
Millonarios O'Higgins stays low-scoring
Covers 1 related market
Sociedad B Leonesa stays low-scoring
Covers 1 related market
