Part of: Mexico vs. South Africa - More Markets

Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5

This prediction market covers whether Mexico and South Africa will combine for at least 2 goals in their FIFA World Cup match on June 11 at 3:00 PM ET. It resolves to Over if the final total is 2+ goals and Under if the total is 0 or 1; PolySpotter is tracking $1,610 in smart money activity with recent whale buying on Over.

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and South Africa, scheduled for June 11 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Mexico and South Africa combine to score 2 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,337.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market bettor

A highly profitable high-volume wallet is building a cross-market thesis across five related Mexico vs. South Africa markets, including buying Under 1.5 at 30¢.

  • This bettor is up $2.15M lifetime across more than 76,000 resolved trades.
  • They have placed $40K across 5 markets tied to the same game, suggesting a broader match thesis.
  • Entry at 30¢ implies a potential 3.3x payout if the game stays under 2 total goals.

$1,610 on Under | Wallet win rate: 54%

Profitable cross-market bettor

A highly profitable high-volume wallet is taking an Under position as part of a $43k cross-market thesis across five markets in the same match.

  • This bettor is up $2.16M lifetime across more than 76,000 resolved trades.
  • They have $43k positioned across five markets tied to this match, suggesting a broader game thesis.
  • Entry at 30¢ offers a contrarian Under position against a market pricing Over at 70%.

$2,423 on Under | Wallet win rate: 54%

New whale buying Over

A 3-day-old repeat large bettor put $10.3k on Over at 70¢, part of $85.9k in recently flagged bets, with the trade large relative to recent activity.

  • This 3-day-old wallet is repeatedly betting big, with $85.9k in recently flagged large trades.
  • They put $10.3k on Over at 70¢, a high-conviction position on a pre-game soccer total.
  • At scan time, the bet was over 5x the market’s recent 24h volume, suggesting meaningful conviction in a quieter market.

$10,304 on Over

Top Holders

  1. 0xe549...2d54 Over, $99,999
  2. 0x204f...5e14 Under, $71,312 (54% win rate)
  3. 0xa85b...eb0e Under, $11,829 (87% win rate)
  4. 0x224a...a3d5 Under, $9,020 (65% win rate)
  5. 0x1c66...e371 Under, $8,871 (80% win rate)
  6. 0xe907...cff6 Over, $4,650 (47% win rate)
  7. 0x7ea5...de7b Under, $2,201 (62% win rate)
  8. 0x99f0...9495 Under, $1,666 (49% win rate)
  9. 0xfb87...3d70 Over, $1,408
  10. 0x84cf...2f63 Over, $1,354 (51% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5

16hMexico vs. South Africa - More Markets$14,337 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Over
70¢
Under
31¢

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and South Africa, scheduled for June 11 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Mexico and South Africa combine to score 2 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

South Africa
RSA
World Cup
Mexico
MEX
Polymarket: 70¢
Venue
Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Price History — “Over
72¢
70¢
68¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5

8m ago

$1,610 on Under at 30¢

30¢31¢1¢

Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5

1h ago

$2,423 on Under at 30¢

30¢31¢1¢

Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5

1h ago

$10,304 on Over at 70¢

70¢70¢

Related Theses