Part of: Mexico vs. South Africa - More Markets

Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $42,784.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought Under after a major volume spike and market move toward the Under.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 210 resolved trades, 66% wins, and $30.8k in profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 28 events with $125k total bet.
  • The market has seen a 40x volume spike, while odds have moved toward Under.

$4,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable wallets buying Under

Three wallets, including two highly profitable sports bettors, put $16.5k into Under amid a 55x pre-game volume spike.

  • Two bettors in this cluster are up over $2M lifetime, including one with a 70% win rate across 3,320 resolved bets.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $16.5k as market volume spiked 55x above normal.
  • Some early buys paid 80–83¢, while the market is now around 72¢, offering a better entry than part of the cluster got.

$16,497 on Under

Brand-new repeat whale

A 16-hour-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and just put $7.4k on Under, suggesting concentrated conviction despite no resolved track record yet.

  • This wallet is only 16 hours old but has already triggered 16 large-bet alerts totaling $232k.
  • It put $7.4k on Under, a meaningful bet in a market with about $59k of liquidity.
  • Entry at 79¢ shows confidence in the heavily favored Under side.

$7,372 on Under | Wallet win rate: 66%

Brand-new repeat whale

A 16-hour-old wallet with 16 repeat large-bet flags has deployed $231k total and bought $10k of Under, showing fresh whale conviction despite no resolved track record yet.

  • This wallet is only 16 hours old but has already triggered 16 large-bet alerts totaling $231k.
  • It put $10k on Under 3.5 at 78–79¢, a meaningful position in a market with $59k liquidity.
  • The signal is fresh whale conviction on a major soccer market, not a proven win-rate edge yet.

$10,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 66%

16-hour repeat whale

Very new wallet has repeatedly placed large bets totaling about $215k and is buying Under 3.5 at 78¢ before the match, making this worth monitoring despite no resolved track record yet.

  • This wallet is only 16 hours old but has already triggered 14 large-bet alerts totaling $215k.
  • The bettor is backing Under at 78¢ in a liquid soccer totals market hours before kickoff.
  • This is not a proven sharp yet, but the repeat high-dollar activity suggests strong conviction.

$2,628 on Under | Wallet win rate: 66%

96% winner buying Under

Elite sharp wallet with a 96% win rate and strong cross-market history bought Under 3.5 at 79¢ in a relatively quiet soccer total market.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $233,706 lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record across 43 events with the same 96% hit rate.
  • A $2,287 buy is large for this market’s $2,669 daily volume, showing clear conviction on Under.

$2,287 on Under | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 12518372, $27,329 (63% win rate)
  2. 0xe5f0...dc1d Outcome 12518372, $10,000 (26% win rate)
  3. 0xdaef...54e9 Outcome 12518372, $3,235 (65% win rate)
  4. 0x4911...7ba8 Outcome 12518372, $1,364 (97% win rate)
  5. 0x6a8b...c2d0 Outcome 12518372, $1,360
  6. 0x368d...d853 Outcome 12518372, $1,000 (59% win rate)
  7. 0xa927...8d9f Outcome 12518372, $1,000 (90% win rate)
  8. 0xa700...102b Outcome 12518372, $669 (55% win rate)
  9. 0x0684...d1fa Outcome 12518372, $611
  10. 0x160b...4296 Outcome 12518372, $597 (78% win rate)

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Both teams score, England advances

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Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5

ResolvedMexico vs. South Africa - More Markets$42,784 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and South Africa, scheduled for June 11 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Mexico and South Africa combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5

47d ago

$4,000 on Under at 87¢

Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5

47d ago

$16,497 on Under at 72¢

Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5

47d ago

$7,372 on Under at 79¢

Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5

47d ago

$10,000 on Under at 79¢

Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5

47d ago

$2,628 on Under at 78¢

Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5

48d ago

$2,287 on Under at 79¢

Related Theses