Part of: Mexico vs. South Africa - More Markets
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5
This Polymarket market tracks whether Mexico and South Africa will combine for 5 or more goals in their FIFA World Cup match on June 11 at 3:00 PM ET. It resolves to Over if the total goals are 5+, and Under if the match finishes with 4 or fewer goals; PolySpotter is tracking $5,620 in smart money and 1 smart money signal on this market.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and South Africa, scheduled for June 11 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Mexico and South Africa combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,621.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Profitable whale cross-market thesis
A very high-volume profitable wallet is extending a $61.7k cross-market thesis across six related markets, buying Under 4.5 at 90¢.
- This bettor is up about $2.1M lifetime across more than 77,000 resolved trades.
- They have positioned across 6 markets in the same event, totaling about $61.7k.
- Buying Under at 90¢ shows confidence in a low-scoring outcome.
$5,621 on Under | Wallet win rate: 54%
Top Holders
- 0x204f...5e14 — Under, $10,863 (54% win rate)
- 0x3d91...a5fd — Over, $7,000 (96% win rate)
- 0xe5f0...dc1d — Over, $6,871 (23% win rate)
- 0xd519...932c — Over, $4,717 (18% win rate)
- 0x0346...52a5 — Under, $4,036 (53% win rate)
- 0x2117...5c26 — Over, $2,182 (48% win rate)
- 0x84cf...2f63 — Over, $1,969 (51% win rate)
- 0x002f...92f3 — Under, $1,500
- 0xf7f0...912c — Under, $1,260 (82% win rate)
- 0x5e39...352c — Under, $1,000 (72% win rate)


