Part of: Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins

Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins

This prediction market covers the May 14 MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Minnesota Twins, resolving to the team that wins the game. PolySpotter is tracking $12,500 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including recent alerts noting sharp backing for the Marlins and a repeat whale bettor. The market is scheduled to resolve after the game is completed, with special handling if it is postponed, canceled, or tied.

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for May 14 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $235,459.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports trader

A highly experienced and profitable cross-market sports trader put $28.6k on Miami amid a major pre-game volume spike and rapid market move.

  • This bettor has 1,301 resolved bets, wins 58% of them, and is up over $10.1M lifetime.
  • They placed a fresh $28.6k bet on Miami at 52¢ during a 797x pre-game volume spike.
  • This wallet has traded across 340 events and nearly $14.8M in tracked cross-market activity.

$28,600 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 58%

Perfect-record sports sharp

Sharp sports wallet with a perfect 31-0 resolved record and $233k profit bought Miami at 51¢, with serial cross-market success across 39 events.

  • This bettor has won 31 of 31 resolved bets and is up $233k lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 39 events, $399k traded, and no recorded losses.
  • Entry at 51¢ suggests they see Miami as meaningfully better than a coin flip.

$5,610 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 100%

New whale backing Miami

Three wallets put $17.5k on Miami amid a 62x pre-event volume spike, led by a 20-hour-old repeat large bettor with $292k in recent flagged activity.

  • A 20-hour-old wallet led the move with a $12.5k buy on Miami at 51¢.
  • Three wallets all moved the same way, totaling $17.5k on Miami within minutes.
  • Market volume is spiking 62x above normal before the game, suggesting unusual pre-event positioning.

$17,452 on Miami Marlins

New whale repeat bettor

A brand-new wallet with repeated large flagged bets is putting meaningful size on Miami despite no resolved track record, suggesting a high-conviction new bettor worth monitoring.

  • This wallet is less than 1 day old but has already made 13 large flagged bets totaling about $257K.
  • The bettor put $12.5K on Miami at 51¢ in a liquid MLB market, showing meaningful conviction rather than a tiny test trade.
  • No resolved history yet, so this is more of a new-whale follow signal than a proven sharp track record.

$12,500 on Miami Marlins

Sharp wallets pile on Miami

Three wallets put $171k on Miami, led by a highly profitable sports whale and a perfect 31-for-31 wallet, amid a huge pre-game volume spike.

  • A major bettor with $10.1M lifetime profit put about $165k on Miami at 52¢.
  • Another wallet in the cluster is 31-for-31 on resolved bets and up $233k lifetime.
  • Three wallets all bought the same side during a 505x pre-game volume spike.

$171,297 on Miami Marlins

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ea...d96a Miami Marlins, $317,931 (58% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Minnesota Twins, $136,190 (73% win rate)
  3. 0xbddf...c684 Minnesota Twins, $95,000 (95% win rate)
  4. 0xc660...bd28 Minnesota Twins, $52,553 (71% win rate)
  5. 0xf152...64aa Minnesota Twins, $45,000 (67% win rate)
  6. 0x9495...9a27 Miami Marlins, $26,612 (64% win rate)
  7. 0xcd65...ee96 Miami Marlins, $24,510
  8. 0x21f3...35e3 Minnesota Twins, $22,953 (74% win rate)
  9. 0x9703...69c2 Minnesota Twins, $22,380
  10. 0x5d1d...afd2 Miami Marlins, $20,408 (55% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins

6dMiami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins$235,459 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Miami Marlins
32¢
Minnesota Twins
69¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for May 14 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

MIA
0
20-23
Live
1
3-2, 0 out
MIN
0
19-24
MIA -115MIN -105O/U 9Polymarket: 32¢
Venue
Target Field, Minneapolis
Weather
75° Sunny
Price History — “Minnesota Twins
67¢
54¢
42¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins

29m ago

$28,600 on Miami Marlins at 52¢

52¢32¢20¢

Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins

40m ago

$5,610 on Miami Marlins at 51¢

51¢32¢19¢

Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins

1h ago

$17,452 on Miami Marlins at 51¢

51¢32¢19¢

Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins

1h ago

$12,500 on Miami Marlins at 51¢

51¢32¢19¢

Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins

34m ago

$171,297 on Miami Marlins at 52¢

52¢32¢20¢

Related Theses

Marlins vs Twins Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter