Part of: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

This prediction market covers the August 19, 2026 MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies. The market currently shows five recent smart-money alerts favoring the Phillies, including signals from high-win-rate bettors, while live market prices are not included in the provided data. It resolves when the game is completed; a cancellation without a makeup game or a tie results in a 50-50 resolution.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $95,227.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader backs Phillies

A highly experienced and profitable serial trader made a fresh $2,217 bet on Philadelphia at 90%, though the market is already heavily favored and liquid.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 6,530 resolved trades and is up $4.5 million lifetime.
  • They placed a fresh $2,217 position on Philadelphia at 90%, now priced around 93%.
  • The bet is meaningful, but the liquid market and short price leave limited room for error.

$2,217 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 65%

Four-wallet Phillies conviction cluster

Four wallets added $65.7K to Philadelphia at 68-69 cents, including three highly profitable bettors with strong long-term records, creating a compelling coordinated sports signal.

  • Four wallets added $65,698 to Philadelphia at 68-69¢, with each already holding a sizable Phillies position.
  • Three participating bettors have strong records: 100% over 74 bets, 89% over 103 bets, and 78% over 184 bets.
  • The position has risen to roughly 88¢, while a 2,024x volume spike confirms unusually concentrated interest in the game.

$65,698 on Philadelphia Phillies

Sharp bettor backs Phillies

A highly proven bettor with 1,387 resolved positions and a substantial edge is making a fresh Phillies purchase at 55%.

  • This bettor wins 83% of 1,387 resolved positions and is up over $2 million.
  • The trade was made at 55%, matching the market price while the bettor's long-term average win price is only 52%.
  • Their cross-market activity spans 149 events and more than $530,000 in volume, indicating an established strategy rather than a one-off bet.

$1,926 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 83%

99% win-rate serial trader

A highly experienced serial trader with a 99% win rate and substantial historical profit is making a fresh $4,125 bet on Philadelphia at 55%.

  • This bettor has won 1,945 of 1,964 resolved positions and is up $17.4 million.
  • The trader has participated across 1,088 events and 1,169 markets, indicating extensive repeat activity rather than a one-off bet.
  • A fresh $4,125 position backs Philadelphia at 55%, near the current market price.

$4,125 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 99%

94% win-rate bettor backs Phillies

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate placed a $21,261 Phillies bet that dwarfs the market's 24-hour volume.

  • This bettor wins 94% of 472 resolved positions and is up $3.68 million.
  • The $21,261 Phillies purchase is 371% of the market's 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction.
  • The trade was entered at 55¢ while the market currently prices Philadelphia near 56%.

$21,261 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 69528772, $126,318 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x32b4...8b21 Outcome 69528772, $20,000 (57% win rate)
  3. 0x4f29...7a7e Outcome 69528772, $12,613 (56% win rate)
  4. 0x5ad4...6866 Outcome 69528772, $6,779 (59% win rate)
  5. 0x99aa...6c5a Outcome 69528772, $5,000 (93% win rate)
  6. 0x9c3c...e8c9 Outcome 69528772, $4,348 (95% win rate)
  7. 0x5482...b6ee Outcome 69528772, $4,130
  8. 0xe9cb...d096 Outcome 69528772, $3,329
  9. 0x0a77...9d74 Outcome 69528772, $3,292
  10. 0x4699...5051 Outcome 69528772, $3,182 (10% win rate)

Related Theses

Marlins win, runs stay low

Covers 3 related markets

Yankees win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Brewers win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Diamondbacks win a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Rays win, total not eight

Covers 3 related markets

High-scoring Giants-Guardians showdown

Covers 3 related markets

Brewers Athletics exceed total

Covers 1 related market

Pirates Athletics stay under

Covers 1 related market

Royals beat Tigers tonight

Covers 1 related market

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

2dMiami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies$95,227 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for August 19 at 6:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

MIA
1
64-64
Final
PHI
4
70-58
MIA +131PHI -141O/U 9
Venue
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Attendance
37,031
Price History — “Philadelphia Phillies
102¢
75¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

4d ago

$2,217 on Philadelphia Phillies at 90¢

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

4d ago

$65,698 on Philadelphia Phillies at 68¢

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

4d ago

$1,926 on Philadelphia Phillies at 55¢

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

4d ago

$4,125 on Philadelphia Phillies at 55¢

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

4d ago

$21,261 on Philadelphia Phillies at 55¢

Related Theses