Part of: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
This prediction market covers the August 19, 2026 MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies. The market currently shows five recent smart-money alerts favoring the Phillies, including signals from high-win-rate bettors, while live market prices are not included in the provided data. It resolves when the game is completed; a cancellation without a makeup game or a tie results in a 50-50 resolution.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $95,227.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Profitable serial trader backs Phillies
A highly experienced and profitable serial trader made a fresh $2,217 bet on Philadelphia at 90%, though the market is already heavily favored and liquid.
- This bettor has won 65% of 6,530 resolved trades and is up $4.5 million lifetime.
- They placed a fresh $2,217 position on Philadelphia at 90%, now priced around 93%.
- The bet is meaningful, but the liquid market and short price leave limited room for error.
$2,217 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 65%
Four-wallet Phillies conviction cluster
Four wallets added $65.7K to Philadelphia at 68-69 cents, including three highly profitable bettors with strong long-term records, creating a compelling coordinated sports signal.
- Four wallets added $65,698 to Philadelphia at 68-69¢, with each already holding a sizable Phillies position.
- Three participating bettors have strong records: 100% over 74 bets, 89% over 103 bets, and 78% over 184 bets.
- The position has risen to roughly 88¢, while a 2,024x volume spike confirms unusually concentrated interest in the game.
$65,698 on Philadelphia Phillies
Sharp bettor backs Phillies
A highly proven bettor with 1,387 resolved positions and a substantial edge is making a fresh Phillies purchase at 55%.
- This bettor wins 83% of 1,387 resolved positions and is up over $2 million.
- The trade was made at 55%, matching the market price while the bettor's long-term average win price is only 52%.
- Their cross-market activity spans 149 events and more than $530,000 in volume, indicating an established strategy rather than a one-off bet.
$1,926 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 83%
99% win-rate serial trader
A highly experienced serial trader with a 99% win rate and substantial historical profit is making a fresh $4,125 bet on Philadelphia at 55%.
- This bettor has won 1,945 of 1,964 resolved positions and is up $17.4 million.
- The trader has participated across 1,088 events and 1,169 markets, indicating extensive repeat activity rather than a one-off bet.
- A fresh $4,125 position backs Philadelphia at 55%, near the current market price.
$4,125 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 99%
94% win-rate bettor backs Phillies
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate placed a $21,261 Phillies bet that dwarfs the market's 24-hour volume.
- This bettor wins 94% of 472 resolved positions and is up $3.68 million.
- The $21,261 Phillies purchase is 371% of the market's 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction.
- The trade was entered at 55¢ while the market currently prices Philadelphia near 56%.
$21,261 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 69528772, $126,318 (65% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 69528772, $20,000 (57% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 69528772, $12,613 (56% win rate)
- 0x5ad4...6866 — Outcome 69528772, $6,779 (59% win rate)
- 0x99aa...6c5a — Outcome 69528772, $5,000 (93% win rate)
- 0x9c3c...e8c9 — Outcome 69528772, $4,348 (95% win rate)
- 0x5482...b6ee — Outcome 69528772, $4,130
- 0xe9cb...d096 — Outcome 69528772, $3,329
- 0x0a77...9d74 — Outcome 69528772, $3,292
- 0x4699...5051 — Outcome 69528772, $3,182 (10% win rate)
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