Part of: Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $86,021.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports whale
Large live-style buy from a highly profitable serial sports trader, but it moved against him immediately and appears to be a hedge after closing a much larger Pirates position.
- This bettor is up over $10.1M lifetime across more than 1,600 resolved markets.
- The $26K Marlins buy came from a serial cross-market trader with $22M+ in tracked activity across 486 events.
- This looks more like live hedging than a clean new thesis, since the wallet had just closed a much larger Pirates position.
$26,229 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable wallet on underdog
Profitable high-volume wallet bought Miami at 31¢ alongside linked-wallet and cross-market activity, with the price already moving to 36¢.
- This bettor is up $1.36M across 13,634 resolved bets, making their Miami buy worth following despite a modest stake.
- Two wallets funded by the same source have put $8.9k into this market direction.
- They bought Miami at 31¢ and the market has already moved to 36¢, suggesting early momentum behind the position.
$2,666 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 53%
Sharp MLB bettor buying underdog
Sharp, profitable sports bettor with a 79% record bought Miami at 33¢ before the market moved to 38¢ amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved positions and is up $134,746 lifetime.
- They bought Miami at 33¢, and the market has already moved to 38¢.
- This wallet has traded across 85 sports events with a 79% win rate, suggesting repeatable edge.
$1,500 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 71%
Linked cluster backing Pirates
High-conviction Pirates flow from 5 wallets, including linked accounts, profitable serial sports traders, and a very new repeat bettor, amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- Five wallets put $12.5K on the Pirates, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- Two serial sports bettors in the cluster win 73% of resolved bets across dozens of events.
- A 5-hour-old wallet is already making repeat large bets and is up $541 early.
$24,102 on Pittsburgh Pirates
Two elite sports wallets align
Three wallets bought Miami, including two highly profitable serial sports bettors with exceptional resolved records, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the modest cluster size.
- Two proven bettors are on Miami: one is up $139k with 1,091 wins in 1,094 resolved bets, and another is up $312k with a 91% record.
- All 3 wallets bought the Marlins at 47¢, totaling $8.8k in one-sided flow.
- Entry at 47¢ implies they see Miami as mispriced versus a near coin-flip market.
$8,844 on Miami Marlins
94% sharp sports whale
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% record and nearly $3M in P&L bought $15k of Pittsburgh Pirates at 55¢.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $2.95M lifetime.
- They have traded across 448 events with a 94% record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- The $15k Pirates buy is over half of this market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction.
$15,000 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 94%
94% winner buying Pirates
Surface despite the weak detector score because this is a highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate making a sizable Pirates bet.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $1.56M lifetime.
- They put $7.7K on Pittsburgh at 54¢, a large share of the market’s 24h volume.
- Entry at 54¢ implies they see value beyond the current slight-favorite price.
$7,680 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 47304086, $22,313 (63% win rate)
- 0x89dd...f662 — Outcome 47304086, $22,103 (99% win rate)
- 0x8b88...8f33 — Outcome 47304086, $13,200 (99% win rate)
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 47304086, $9,519 (69% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 47304086, $6,643 (55% win rate)
- 0xae82...faf0 — Outcome 47304086, $3,197 (92% win rate)
- 0x50c3...ace1 — Outcome 47304086, $2,200 (100% win rate)
- 0x6285...3f5a — Outcome 47304086, $2,070 (64% win rate)
- 0x1d16...212e — Outcome 47304086, $2,031 (90% win rate)
- 0xdd5e...9040 — Outcome 47304086, $1,949 (79% win rate)
Related Theses
Knicks win big over Spurs
Covers 12 related markets
Spurs win in a blowout
Covers 18 related markets
Spurs blow out Knicks
Covers 17 related markets
High-scoring close Netherlands-Sweden match
Covers 4 related markets
Ecuador routs Curaçao decisively
Covers 3 related markets
France dominates Iraq early
Covers 6 related markets
Japan routs Tunisia convincingly
Covers 5 related markets
France wins high-scoring shootout
Covers 4 related markets
Norway wins big over Iraq
Covers 5 related markets
Norway Senegal ends with four goals
Covers 3 related markets
