Part of: Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 22?

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 22?

This Polymarket market predicts whether Microsoft (MSFT) will close higher or lower on May 22, 2026 compared with its close on the most recent prior trading day. PolySpotter is tracking $1,353 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including a recent alert that a 95% winner is buying Down. The market resolves after the official MSFT closing price is known on May 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on May 22, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on May 22, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,353.

Categories: MSFT, Equities, Up or Down, Daily, Finance, Stocks, Daily-Close, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Rewards Automation 50 4.5 50

Notable Trades

95% winner buying Down

Surfaced under the sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 95% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L despite the alert’s weak low-activity signal.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $11.8K lifetime.
  • They bought $1.35K of Down at 63¢ in a quiet MSFT daily market with only $3.1K of 24h volume.
  • The market has since moved to about 52¢, meaning the same side may be available cheaper than their entry.

$1,353 on Down | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1755...5aac Up, $2,229 (56% win rate)
  2. 0xdd2a...315e Down, $2,162 (95% win rate)
  3. 0x0e68...826b Down, $891
  4. 0x982a...6851 Up, $434
  5. 0xa540...0b43 Up, $278 (41% win rate)
  6. 0x5730...891e Up, $150 (35% win rate)
  7. 0x05a1...89f9 Down, $69
  8. 0x86ca...50c9 Up, $68
  9. 0x4f1b...bc10 Down, $62
  10. 0x1250...db19 Up, $47

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 22?

53mMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 22?$1,353 tracked1 signalMSFTEquitiesUp or DownDailyFinanceStocksDaily-CloseFinance UpdownPyth FinanceRewards Automation 50 4.5 50Hide From New
Up
44¢
Down
56¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on May 22, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on May 22, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Price History — “Down
66¢
51¢
37¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 22?

1h ago

$1,353 on Down at 63¢

63¢56¢7¢