Part of: Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignon

Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignon

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,919.

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Experienced profitable cross-market trader bought $4.1k of Raphael Collignon at 88¢, though this is a high-odds favorite in a liquid market.

This bettor has a long track record: 631 resolved trades and $223k in lifetime profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader with nearly $2M flagged across 330 events.
A $4.1k buy at 88¢ shows they are backing the heavy favorite rather than taking a long-shot angle.

$4,119 on Raphael Collignon | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A high-volume sports bettor with a long positive track record bought Raphael Collignon at 90¢ in a tennis market where he is currently priced around 92¢.

This bettor is up $181,599 across 618 resolved bets with $3.6M invested.
They have traded across 323 sports events, suggesting a repeatable betting process rather than a one-off bet.
Entry at 90¢ is slightly below the current 92¢ market price, leaving limited but clear upside.

$1,800 on Raphael Collignon | Wallet win rate: 63%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 36209422, $11,777 (63% win rate)
0x51e1...5ec9 — Outcome 36209422, $4,944 (44% win rate)
0x26e7...cc6c — Outcome 36209422, $4,844 (73% win rate)
0x33c9...6f9a — Outcome 36209422, $3,000 (78% win rate)
0xfb85...8464 — Outcome 36209422, $2,893 (78% win rate)
0x9082...afc3 — Outcome 36209422, $2,490
0x57c3...44b8 — Outcome 36209422, $2,438 (76% win rate)
0x625d...c6a1 — Outcome 36209422, $2,000 (81% win rate)
0xdad6...63a0 — Outcome 36209422, $1,858 (60% win rate)
0xdeff...78f8 — Outcome 36209422, $1,557 (97% win rate)

Related Theses

England or Spain win World Cup

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Cobolli beats Wu

Covers 1 related market

Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignon

ResolvedGeneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignon$5,919 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Raphael Collignon in the Geneva Open, originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Raphael Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Collignon' if Raphael Collignon advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.