Part of: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals

Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $71,084.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Sharp bettors backed Kansas City

A large Royals position was reinforced by multiple highly profitable bettors, including wallets with 91% and 99% historical win rates, though the market has already resolved at 100%.

Five wallets committed about $40,000 to Kansas City, with entries between 42¢ and 59¢ before the price reached 100%.
Two participating bettors have exceptional records: 91% and 99% win rates with more than $17.8 million in combined profit.
The coordinated position was strongly validated by the final outcome, but the market is no longer realistically copyable at its current 100% price.

$40,432 on Kansas City Royals

Sharp bettor leads Twins cluster

Three wallets, including an exceptionally profitable 94% winner, collectively bought Minnesota at prices well above the current 48% market probability.

A bettor with a 94% win rate across 7,406 resolved trades bought Minnesota for $1,576 at 60¢.
Three wallets invested $4,049 on Minnesota, with one adding to an existing $16,655 position.
The cluster paid roughly 58¢ on average while the market is now 48%, indicating substantial conviction despite the price decline.

$4,049 on Minnesota Twins

Pre-event Twins momentum buyer

A large pre-event volume surge and 13.5-point price rise support this Twins position, though the bettor's broad 55% record provides limited evidence of a durable edge.

The $1,362 Twins bet at 52¢ was followed by a rise to 62¢.
Market activity ran 83.7 times above its historical average across just three trades.
This bettor has a large 11,728-bet history, but a 55% win rate is only modest evidence of skill.

$1,362 on Minnesota Twins | Wallet win rate: 55%

93% winner scaling into Minnesota

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and $2.77M P&L is adding $21,150 to an existing Minnesota Twins position at 47%.

This bettor wins 93% of 390 resolved positions and is up $2.77M lifetime.
They added $21,150 to an existing Minnesota Twins position at 47%, showing continued conviction.
The trade is unusually large at 58% of the market’s total 24-hour volume despite deep liquidity.

$21,150 on Minnesota Twins | Wallet win rate: 93%

99% win-rate sports bettor

An exceptionally proven sports bettor with a 99% win rate and $16.6M profit is newly buying Kansas City at 54%.

This bettor has won 1,643 of 1,656 resolved positions and earned $16.6M in profit.
The fresh $1,620 Kansas City purchase is a meaningful directional bet in a liquid MLB market.
The 54¢ entry implies the bettor sees Kansas City as substantially more likely than the market's 54% estimate.

$1,620 on Kansas City Royals | Wallet win rate: 99%

92% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial demonstrated edge is making a fresh $2,471 bet on Kansas City at 53%.

This bettor has won 132 of 144 resolved positions, with $1.08 million in lifetime profit.
Their results imply a strong edge: 92% wins while entering at average odds near 51%.
The fresh $2,471 Royals position is meaningful in a market with only $6,675 of 24-hour volume.

$2,471 on Kansas City Royals | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

0x16bb...8492 — Outcome 60203125, $45,000 (93% win rate)
0xd48a...6e90 — Outcome 60203125, $16,655 (69% win rate)
0x6195...b9e3 — Outcome 60203125, $10,190 (68% win rate)
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 60203125, $3,394
0xabb8...bba3 — Outcome 60203125, $3,111 (49% win rate)
0x617b...a499 — Outcome 60203125, $3,000 (44% win rate)
0xb4f9...c9a7 — Outcome 60203125, $2,211
0x6451...b57a — Outcome 60203125, $2,127 (100% win rate)
0x0df8...b67e — Outcome 60203125, $1,820 (48% win rate)
0x5b62...d87f — Outcome 60203125, $1,000 (81% win rate)

Related Theses

Brewers Athletics exceed total

Covers 1 related market

Royals beat Tigers tonight

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Sabres cover against Canadiens

Covers 1 related market

Morocco wins by multiple goals

Covers 1 related market

Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals

3dMinnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals$71,084 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for August 5 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

MIN

56-59

Final

48-67

MIN +107KC -113O/U 8.5

Venue

Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City

Attendance

13,439

Price History — “Kansas City Royals”

60¢

53¢