Part of: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals

Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,600.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Three profitable wallets bought Under

Three highly profitable, experienced wallets jointly bought Under for $5,592, driving a 37-point price move despite mixed individual edge versus entry odds.

  • Three experienced bettors committed $5,592 to Under, with the trade moving its price 37 percentage points.
  • The wallets show substantial lifetime profits, including one up $33.6 million and another up $2.8 million.
  • Most of the buying entered around 47–48¢, implying roughly a 2.1x payout if Under wins.

$5,592 on Under

Veteran bettor bought a sharp Under move

A highly experienced, profitable trader made a large Under bet in a thin market as Under pricing broke sharply above its historical range.

  • This trader has 14,374 resolved bets, a 60% win rate, and is up $1.4 million lifetime.
  • The $1,008 Under purchase is nearly as large as the market's $1,156 liquidity, signaling meaningful conviction.
  • Under moved from its historical 47–48% range to 84% at entry and 92% currently, a sharp directional repricing.

$1,008 on Under | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0e50...2609 Outcome 12644188, $2,000 (96% win rate)
  2. 0xd619...c461 Outcome 12644188, $1,600
  3. 0x4a3f...4333 Outcome 12644188, $1,200 (97% win rate)
  4. 0x9703...69c2 Outcome 12644188, $961
  5. 0xec98...afcd Outcome 12644188, $500 (50% win rate)
  6. 0xc22e...eab8 Outcome 12644188, $481
  7. 0x28e8...6080 Outcome 12644188, $459
  8. 0x1a2f...647a Outcome 12644188, $360 (67% win rate)
  9. 0xa3c2...df3d Outcome 12644188, $318
  10. 0x5dc8...e209 Outcome 12644188, $285

Related Theses

Athletics win high-scoring game

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United States beats Bosnia

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England beats Argentina

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Spain advances in low-scoring draw

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DR Congo keeps low scorer close

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Spurs win low scoring affair

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Spurs win by single digits

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Low-scoring draw, both teams score

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Norway advances in high-scoring regulation

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Belgium held scoreless by Iran

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Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5

ResolvedMinnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals$6,600 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for August 5 at 7:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Minnesota Twins and Kansas City Royals combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

MIN
1
56-59
Final
KC
2
48-67
MIN +107KC -113O/U 8.5
Venue
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
Attendance
13,439

Notable Trades

Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5

2d ago

$5,592 on Under at 47¢

Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5

3d ago

$1,008 on Under at 84¢

Related Theses

Athletics win high-scoring game
Wallet_0xd1ed1 trades 7 related markets
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Ange…Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics vs. Los Angeles Ange…
United States beats Bosnia
Wallet_0xd1ed1 trades 3 related markets
Will United States vs. Bosnia …Will Bosnia and Herzegovina wi…Will United States win on 2026…
England beats Argentina
Wallet_0xd1ed1 trades 3 related markets
Will England vs. Argentina end…Will England win on 2026-07-15…Will Argentina win on 2026-07-…
Spain advances in low-scoring draw
Wallet_0xd1ed1 trades 6 related markets
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.…France vs. Spain: Team to Adva…France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
DR Congo keeps low scorer close
Wallet_0xd1ed1 trades 3 related markets
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5
Spurs win low scoring affair
Wallet_0xd1ed1 trades 7 related markets
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Spread: Spurs (-7.5)
Spurs win by single digits
Wallet_0xd1ed1 trades 5 related markets
Spurs vs. KnicksSpread: Knicks (-13.5)Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
Low-scoring draw, both teams score
Wallet_0xd1ed1 trades 6 related markets
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U…Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Bot…Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st…
Norway advances in high-scoring regulation
Wallet_0xd1ed1 trades 4 related markets
Norway vs. England: Will the M…Norway vs. England: 1st Half O…Norway vs. England: Team to Ad…
Belgium held scoreless by Iran
Wallet_0xd1ed1 trades 4 related markets
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O…Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half …