Part of: MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?
MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?
This Polymarket market asks whether Aaron Judge or Juan Soto will finish the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks. It resolves after the regular season, currently scheduled for September 28, 2026, with tiebreakers based on intentional walks and then on-base percentage. PolySpotter is tracking $4,871 in smart money activity, including a recent signal backing Soto.
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,871.
Categories: Aaron Judge, baseball, MLB, Sports, Walks, Juan Soto, Rewards 50, 4.5, 20
Notable Trades
Profitable serial bettor backs Soto
A highly profitable serial trader made a large contrarian Soto buy that was over 4x this thin market's 24h volume.
- This bettor is up $2.0M lifetime across 1,482 resolved bets.
- The $4.9k Soto buy was over 4x the market’s 24h volume.
- Entry at 27¢ implies they see Soto as a nearly 4x payout if he wins.
$4,871 on Soto | Wallet win rate: 58%
Top Holders
- 0xfea3...d227 — Soto, $17,912 (58% win rate)
- 0xb671...32d1 — Judge, $9,489
- 0x8df7...36c4 — Judge, $5,758 (72% win rate)
- 0x8107...f934 — Judge, $897
- 0x938e...a4ff — Judge, $685
- 0xe393...f016 — Soto, $641
- 0x9495...468f — Judge, $475
- 0x7dc9...525e — Judge, $300
- 0x5c0a...a2c3 — Judge, $275
- 0xfe41...9f23 — Judge, $225
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