Part of: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $38,781.

Notable Trades

Veteran trader ahead of sharp move

A large Alex Michelsen purchase coincided with a 353x volume spike and a move from 88% to 100%, making this a notable informed-flow signal despite the trader's modest 55% win rate.

A $4,488 bet on Alex Michelsen at 88¢ was followed by the market reaching 100%.
Trading volume spiked 353.7 times above its historical average across just three trades.
The wallet has placed over $555 million and is up $6.65 million lifetime, though its 55% win rate is not independently exceptional.

$4,488 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 56%

Serial sharp scaling into Mannarino

A highly experienced bettor with 379 resolved trades and a 78% win rate added to an existing Adrian Mannarino position despite recent price weakness.

This bettor has won 78% of 379 resolved trades and is up $243,274 lifetime.
They are adding to an existing Adrian Mannarino position, signaling continued conviction after the price moved against them.
The $1,111 purchase was made at 55¢ while Adrian was recently repriced lower, offering a potentially favorable entry if the bettor’s edge persists.

$1,111 on Adrian Mannarino | Wallet win rate: 78%

Sharp bettor leads Mannarino cluster

Three wallets added $8,350 to Mannarino, including a serial cross-market bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial historical edge.

A proven bettor wins 78% of 379 resolved trades and is up $243,274 lifetime.
Three wallets added $8,350 to Mannarino, with all three already holding positions and increasing their exposure.
The cluster’s weighted entry was about 43¢ while Mannarino is now near 50¢, suggesting the trade has already moved in their direction.

$8,350 on Adrian Mannarino

Four-wallet cluster backs Michelsen

Four linked wallets are aligned on Michelsen, while a historically profitable serial trader is adding to an existing position at 73 cents.

Four wallets sharing a funder are aligned on Alex Michelsen, committing $4,429 in total.
This bettor is up $87,370 across 37 resolved trades and has a 65% win rate.
The trade adds to an existing Michelsen position at 73¢, signaling continued conviction rather than a new standalone entry.

$4,429 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 67%

97% win-rate bettor adds to Michelsen

A highly profitable serial trader with a 97% win rate and substantial edge is adding $14,338 to an existing Alex Michelsen position at 75%.

This bettor has won 211 of 218 resolved trades and is up $838,081 lifetime.
They are adding $14,338 to an existing Michelsen position, bringing their investment in the outcome above $33,000.
The 75¢ entry is near the current 74–75¢ market price, with a suggested copy ceiling of 85¢.

$14,338 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 97%

Proven sharp backs Michelsen

A highly experienced bettor with 912 resolved positions, a 77% win rate, and $2.34M in profit made a concentrated $6,064 bet on Michelsen in a relatively thin market.

This bettor wins 77% of 912 resolved trades and is up $2.34M lifetime.
They placed $6,064 on Alex Michelsen at 73¢, more than twice the reported 24-hour market volume.
The entry price is below the current 74% market odds, suggesting meaningful conviction from a serial cross-market trader.

$6,064 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

0xc430...1ebf — Outcome 10280922, $21,272 (96% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10280922, $19,684 (63% win rate)
0x9d8a...5201 — Outcome 10280922, $16,500 (36% win rate)
0xc463...9a2f — Outcome 10280922, $10,000 (55% win rate)
0x7574...fcc7 — Outcome 10280922, $6,384 (100% win rate)
0xf83b...44a2 — Outcome 10280922, $3,925 (84% win rate)
0x3fa2...cf15 — Outcome 10280922, $3,000 (81% win rate)
0x545d...c122 — Outcome 10280922, $2,143 (61% win rate)
0x33c9...6f9a — Outcome 10280922, $2,000 (80% win rate)
0xc83d...535c — Outcome 10280922, $1,742

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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino

ResolvedMubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino$38,781 tracked6 signalsTennisGamesSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Adrian Mannarino in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Adrian Mannarino. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Alex Michelsen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Alex Michelsen”

87¢

77¢

66¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction