Part of: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala
This prediction market covers the Mubadala Citi DC Open tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Alexandra Eala, scheduled for August 2, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with $17,366 in tracked smart money across two signals; the market is scheduled to resolve by August 9, 2026.
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $98,087.
Categories: Games, Tennis, Sports
Notable Trades
Four-wallet Pegula buying cluster
Four wallets collectively bought Pegula during a 10.1x volume spike, creating a notable coordinated contrarian signal despite the lead wallet adding to a losing position.
- Four wallets bought Jessica Pegula for a combined $22,922 in the same window.
- Trading volume spiked to 10.1x its historical average, suggesting unusually concentrated interest.
- The lead wallet has 198 resolved bets and $95,808 in profit, but its 63% win rate is not clearly superior to its typical 68¢ winning entry price.
$2,310 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 64%
96% winner backs Pegula
A highly profitable serial trader is taking a strong Pegula position, reinforced by coordinated four-wallet buying and a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 96% of 174 resolved positions and earned $6.6 million in profit.
- Four wallets placed $22,922 in the same Pegula direction, while market volume surged to 10.1 times its historical average.
- The sell of Alexandra Eala at 44¢ is equivalent to buying Jessica Pegula at 56¢, implying meaningful conviction despite Pegula trading near 48%.
$15,056 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 96%
Proven serial cross-market bettor
A highly experienced bettor with 2,329 resolved positions, an 81% win rate, and substantial positive edge bought Pegula despite the position currently trading lower.
- This bettor wins 81% of 2,329 resolved trades and has made $5.6 million in profit.
- The wallet has traded across 605 events and $7.6 million in volume, indicating extensive market experience.
- It bought Jessica Pegula at 79¢, signaling stronger confidence than the current 74% market price.
$1,363 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp bettor scaling into Pegula
A proven high-volume bettor with a 76% win rate and 16% edge is adding $3,721 to an existing Pegula position.
- This bettor has won 76% of 220 resolved trades and is up $360,406.
- They added $3,721 to Pegula despite already holding $7,582, signaling continued conviction.
- The 77¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value in Pegula, though the market is currently at 74¢.
$3,721 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 76%
84% win-rate serial bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $3,000 bet on Pegula.
- This bettor has won 84% of 192 resolved trades and is up $376,291 lifetime.
- Their results imply a strong edge: they typically enter around 54% odds while winning far more often.
- The fresh $3,000 Pegula bet is in a liquid market, avoiding the risks of a thin order book.
$3,000 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 85%
98% winner adds to Pegula
A highly experienced serial trader with a 98% win rate is adding $4,500 to an existing Jessica Pegula position at 60 cents.
- This bettor has won 98% of 294 resolved trades and is up $231,749.
- The $4,500 purchase adds to an existing $7,451 Pegula position, signaling continued conviction.
- Pegula is priced at 60 cents, implying the trader sees meaningful upside despite a liquid market.
$1,110 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 98%
16-wallet linked Eala cluster
A 16-wallet, two-funder cluster deployed roughly $53,000 on Eala while several proven profitable bettors added or exited Pegula, driving Eala from mid-range odds to 98%.
- Sixteen linked wallets committed about $53,000 to Alexandra Eala, with additional traders selling the Pegula side.
- Several participants have strong records, including an 84% bettor up $383,000 and a 79% bettor up $148,000.
- The coordinated flow coincided with a sharp move to 98% for Eala from roughly 54%, signaling unusually strong conviction.
$52,990 on Alexandra Eala
98% winner adds to Pegula
A highly experienced serial trader with a 98% win rate is adding $4,500 to an existing Jessica Pegula position at 60 cents.
- This bettor has won 98% of 294 resolved trades and is up $231,749.
- The $4,500 purchase adds to an existing $7,451 Pegula position, signaling continued conviction.
- Pegula is priced at 60 cents, implying the trader sees meaningful upside despite a liquid market.
$3,000 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 98%
84% win-rate serial bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $3,000 bet on Pegula.
- This bettor has won 84% of 192 resolved trades and is up $376,291 lifetime.
- Their results imply a strong edge: they typically enter around 54% odds while winning far more often.
- The fresh $3,000 Pegula bet is in a liquid market, avoiding the risks of a thin order book.
$3,000 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 85%
Proven sharp backing Pegula
A highly proven bettor with an 82% win rate and 31-point edge is making a fresh $2,216 wager on Pegula.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades across 346 positions and is up nearly $3.95 million.
- The bettor typically enters around 51% odds, yet is buying Pegula at 60%, signaling meaningful confidence in the favorite.
- The $2,216 position is a fresh directional bet in a liquid tennis market, rather than routine position management.
$2,216 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0xdb85...152f — Outcome 54111986, $60,000 (84% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 54111986, $43,782 (81% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Outcome 54111986, $24,942 (78% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 54111986, $20,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x076d...8d4c — Outcome 54111986, $19,107 (66% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 54111986, $16,557 (58% win rate)
- 0xaa77...15a5 — Outcome 54111986, $13,520 (69% win rate)
- 0xbdb0...f8ba — Outcome 54111986, $12,700 (88% win rate)
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 54111986, $11,667 (96% win rate)
- 0x5455...8b2a — Outcome 54111986, $10,000 (72% win rate)
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